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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

LD Alajuelense v CS Herediano: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Costa-Rica · Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto
1–1
FT
LD Alajuelense 59%Draw 22%CS Herediano 19% Expected goals 1.65 – 0.80
81%
Betarazi pick

LD Alajuelense or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: LD Alajuelense to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultLD Alajuelense to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceLD Alajuelense or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.64

LD Alajuelense vs CS Herediano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

03:00 WAT, Thursday 15 October: LD Alajuelense v CS Herediano in the Primera División, played at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto. In the table, LD Alajuelense are 4th, among the top four, on 29 points after 16 matches; CS Herediano are 8th (in the drop zone) with 15. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

LD Alajuelense, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Puntarenas FC, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

CS Herediano, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to San Carlos, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (10 Aug 2026) it ended CS Herediano 0–3 LD Alajuelense. The last 3 head-to-heads: LD Alajuelense 1 win, CS Herediano 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give LD Alajuelense 1.6 xG, CS Herediano 0.8 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – LD Alajuelense 59%, draw 22%, CS Herediano 19%.
  • Lower-risk option: LD Alajuelense or draw (81%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.80.
  • Price worth noting: LD Alajuelense to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was LD Alajuelense or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: LD Alajuelense 1–0 CS Herediano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

LD Alajuelense59%fair 1.70 · @1.85
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.10
CS Herediano19%fair 5.15 · @3.75
2.45Expected goals
1.65LD Alajuelense xG
0.80CS Herediano xG
54%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%

From our goals model: LD Alajuelense 1.6 – 0.8 CS Herediano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLD Alajuelense to win ✗59%1.701.85 ▲
Double chanceLD Alajuelense or draw ✓81%1.241.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.841.80
Draw no betLD Alajuelense (draw no bet)75%1.33–
Asian handicapCS Herediano +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.46–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.42–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.80–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓90%1.11–
First team to scoreLD Alajuelense to score first61%1.63–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT LD Alajuelense / FT LD Alajuelense ✗35%2.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.64–

Recent results

LD Alajuelense – last 6

DWWLDL
11 Oct@ Puntarenas FC1–1D
21 Sepvs Inter San Carlos5–0W
18 Sepvs CD Marathon3–1W
14 Sep@ CS Cartagines1–3L
11 Sep@ CD Marathon2–2D
6 Sepvs Deportivo Saprissa0–2L
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

CS Herediano – last 6

LLWLLW
11 Octvs San Carlos0–1L
20 Sep@ Deportivo Saprissa0–2L
13 Sep@ Escorpiones Belén2–0W
6 Sepvs Perez Zeledon2–3L
30 Aug@ CS Cartagines0–1L
27 Augvs Antigua GFC2–1W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

10 Aug 2026CS Herediano v LD Alajuelense0–3
13 Jul 2026LD Alajuelense v CS Herediano0–1
22 Mar 2026CS Herediano v LD Alajuelense2–1
LD Alajuelense vs CS Herediano head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Saprissa161015+1631
2CS Cartagines161015+1231
3Sporting San Jose16934+730
4LD Alajuelense16853+1229
5San Carlos16826-226
6Inter San Carlos16556-620
7Puntarenas FC16547-619
8CS Herediano16439-515
9Escorpiones Belén164111-1213
10Perez Zeledon16259-1611

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for LD Alajuelense vs CS Herediano?

Our pick is LD Alajuelense or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win LD Alajuelense vs CS Herediano?

On our numbers LD Alajuelense have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 22% and CS Herediano 19%.

How many goals will there be in LD Alajuelense vs CS Herediano?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for LD Alajuelense vs CS Herediano?

Our predicted score is LD Alajuelense 1–0 CS Herediano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is LD Alajuelense vs CS Herediano?

LD Alajuelense vs CS Herediano (Primera División) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 03:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Morera Soto.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.