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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

San Carlos v Deportivo Saprissa: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Costa-Rica
2–1
FT
San Carlos 16%Draw 26%Deportivo Saprissa 59% Expected goals 0.86 – 1.84
84%
Betarazi pick

Deportivo Saprissa or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.18 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Deportivo Saprissa to win @ 1.95 – our chance 59% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Saprissa to win ✗59% · @1.95
Double chanceDeportivo Saprissa or draw ✗84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.22

San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 25 October the Primera División brings San Carlos against Deportivo Saprissa. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, San Carlos are 5th, upper half, on 26 points after 16 matches; Deportivo Saprissa are 1st (leading the league) with 31.

Current form

San Carlos, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Sporting San Jose, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Deportivo Saprissa, last 5: DLWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Firpo, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours San Carlos, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Deportivo Saprissa.

Head to head

When they last met (2 Aug 2026) it ended Deportivo Saprissa 2–1 San Carlos. The last 2 head-to-heads: San Carlos 0 wins, Deportivo Saprissa 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give San Carlos 0.9 xG, Deportivo Saprissa 1.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – San Carlos 16%, draw 26%, Deportivo Saprissa 59%.
  • Lower-risk option: Deportivo Saprissa or draw (84%) at 1.25.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.75.
  • Price worth noting: Deportivo Saprissa to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Deportivo Saprissa or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.18, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: San Carlos 0–1 Deportivo Saprissa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

San Carlos16%fair 6.42 · @3.40
Draw26%fair 3.92 · @3.10
Deportivo Saprissa59%fair 1.70 · @1.95
2.70Expected goals
0.86San Carlos xG
1.84Deportivo Saprissa xG
54%Both score
51%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–07%

From our goals model: San Carlos 0.9 – 1.8 Deportivo Saprissa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Saprissa to win ✗59%1.701.95 ▲
Double chanceDeportivo Saprissa or draw ✗84%1.181.25 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓54%1.861.75
Draw no betDeportivo Saprissa (draw no bet) ✗79%1.26–
Asian handicapDeportivo Saprissa -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.33–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓51%1.97–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
First team to scoreDeportivo Saprissa to score first ✗64%1.57–
Half-time resultDeportivo Saprissa ahead at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Saprissa / FT Deportivo Saprissa ✗38%2.63–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.22–

Recent results

San Carlos – last 6

DLWWWW
20 Oct@ Sporting San Jose3–3D
14 Octvs Inter San Carlos1–2L
11 Oct@ CS Herediano1–0W
21 Sepvs CS Cartagines1–0W
12 Sep@ Perez Zeledon2–0W
7 Sepvs Sporting San Jose1–0W
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Deportivo Saprissa – last 6

DLWLWL
22 Oct@ Firpo0–0D
18 Oct@ CS Cartagines0–1L
16 Octvs Sporting San Jose6–0W
12 Oct@ Escorpiones Belén0–1L
20 Sepvs CS Herediano2–0W
17 Sep@ CS Cartagines2–3L
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

2 Aug 2026Deportivo Saprissa v San Carlos2–1
23 Mar 2026San Carlos v Deportivo Saprissa1–3
San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Saprissa161015+1631
2CS Cartagines161015+1231
3Sporting San Jose16934+730
4LD Alajuelense16853+1229
5San Carlos16826-226
6Inter San Carlos16556-620
7Puntarenas FC16547-619
8CS Herediano16439-515
9Escorpiones Belén164111-1213
10Perez Zeledon16259-1611

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Our pick is Deportivo Saprissa or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa?

On our numbers San Carlos have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Deportivo Saprissa 59%.

How many goals will there be in San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa?

Our predicted score is San Carlos 0–1 Deportivo Saprissa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa?

San Carlos vs Deportivo Saprissa (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.