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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Saprissa v LD Alajuelense: numbers & prediction

Primera División · Costa-Rica
Deportivo Saprissa 59%Draw 23%LD Alajuelense 18% Expected goals 1.94 – 0.98
82%
Betarazi pick

Deportivo Saprissa or draw

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1

Value bet: Deportivo Saprissa to win @ 1.80 – our chance 59% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Saprissa to win ✗59% · @1.80
Double chanceDeportivo Saprissa or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.05

Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportivo Saprissa welcome LD Alajuelense for a Primera División fixture on Sunday 1 November (23:00 WAT). In the table, Deportivo Saprissa are 1st, leading the league, on 31 points after 16 matches; LD Alajuelense are 4th (among the top four) with 29. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Deportivo Saprissa, last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Firpo, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

LD Alajuelense, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over CD Motagua, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours LD Alajuelense, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Deportivo Saprissa.

Head to head

When they last met (6 Sep 2026) it ended LD Alajuelense 0–2 Deportivo Saprissa. The last 3 head-to-heads: Deportivo Saprissa 2 wins, LD Alajuelense 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Saprissa 1.9 xG, LD Alajuelense 1.0 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Saprissa 59%, draw 23%, LD Alajuelense 18%.
  • Lower-risk option: Deportivo Saprissa or draw (82%) at 1.22.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.65.
  • Price worth noting: Deportivo Saprissa to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Deportivo Saprissa or draw (82%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Saprissa 1–0 LD Alajuelense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Saprissa59%fair 1.70 · @1.80
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.30
LD Alajuelense18%fair 5.58 · @3.70
2.92Expected goals
1.94Deportivo Saprissa xG
0.98LD Alajuelense xG
57%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–010%
1–110%
2–010%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%

From our goals model: Deportivo Saprissa 1.9 – 1.0 LD Alajuelense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Saprissa to win ✗59%1.701.80 ▲
Double chanceDeportivo Saprissa or draw ✓82%1.221.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗57%1.741.65
Draw no betDeportivo Saprissa (draw no bet)77%1.30–
Asian handicapLD Alajuelense +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓64%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.27–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.79–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓67%1.50–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreDeportivo Saprissa to score first ✗63%1.59–
Half-time resultDeportivo Saprissa ahead at half-time ✗43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Saprissa / FT Deportivo Saprissa ✗38%2.65–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.05–

Recent results

Deportivo Saprissa – last 6

WLDLWL
29 Octvs Firpo2–1W
25 Oct@ San Carlos1–2L
22 Oct@ Firpo0–0D
18 Oct@ CS Cartagines0–1L
16 Octvs Sporting San Jose6–0W
12 Oct@ Escorpiones Belén0–1L
1.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

LD Alajuelense – last 6

WWDWDD
30 Octvs CD Motagua2–1W
26 Octvs Perez Zeledon1–0W
23 Oct@ CD Motagua0–0D
18 Oct@ Inter San Carlos3–2W
15 Octvs CS Herediano1–1D
11 Oct@ Puntarenas FC1–1D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 Sep 2026LD Alajuelense v Deportivo Saprissa0–2
20 Apr 2026LD Alajuelense v Deportivo Saprissa1–1
22 Feb 2026Deportivo Saprissa v LD Alajuelense2–1
Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportivo Saprissa161015+1631
2CS Cartagines161015+1231
3Sporting San Jose16934+730
4LD Alajuelense16853+1229
5San Carlos16826-226
6Inter San Carlos16556-620
7Puntarenas FC16547-619
8CS Herediano16439-515
9Escorpiones Belén164111-1213
10Perez Zeledon16259-1611

More Primera División predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense?

Our pick is Deportivo Saprissa or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense?

On our numbers Deportivo Saprissa have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and LD Alajuelense 18%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Saprissa 1–0 LD Alajuelense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense?

Deportivo Saprissa vs LD Alajuelense (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.