AZ Alkmaar 62%Draw 21%ADO Den Haag 17%Expected goals 2.10 – 1.08
62%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultAZ Alkmaar to win ✓62% · @1.41
Double chanceAZ Alkmaar or draw ✓83% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AZ Alkmaar welcome ADO Den Haag to AFAS Stadion for a Eredivisie fixture on Saturday 8 August (20:00 WAT). In the table, AZ Alkmaar are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 12 matches; ADO Den Haag are 17th (in the drop zone) with 9. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
AZ Alkmaar, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over PSV Eindhoven, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
ADO Den Haag, last 5: DWWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Asteras Tripolis, at home. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AZ Alkmaar 2.1 xG, ADO Den Haag 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AZ Alkmaar 62%, draw 21%, ADO Den Haag 17%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (62%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: AZ Alkmaar 2–1 ADO Den Haag. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AZ Alkmaar62%fair 1.61 · @1.41
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @4.60
ADO Den Haag17%fair 5.93 · @6.80
3.18Expected goals
2.10AZ Alkmaar xG
1.08ADO Den Haag xG
59%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: AZ Alkmaar 2.1 – 1.1 ADO Den Haag expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AZ Alkmaar to win✓
62%
1.61
1.41
Double chance
AZ Alkmaar or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.65
Draw no bet
AZ Alkmaar (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
AZ Alkmaar -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
First team to score
AZ Alkmaar to score first✓
63%
1.58
–
Half-time result
AZ Alkmaar ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AZ Alkmaar / FT AZ Alkmaar✗
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
AZ Alkmaar – last 6
WWWDWD
2 Aug
@ PSV Eindhoven
4–0
W
25 Jul
vs Olympiakos Piraeus
3–2
W
22 Jul
vs Genk
4–0
W
18 Jul
@ Zulte Waregem
1–1
D
11 Jul
vs Almere City FC
2–1
W
4 Jul
vs Gent
3–3
D
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
ADO Den Haag – last 6
DWWWWW
31 Jul
vs Asteras Tripolis
0–0
D
24 Jul
@ Lommel United
4–0
W
18 Jul
@ KV Mechelen
3–2
W
4 Jul
@ Laakkwartier
5–1
W
24 Apr
@ Den Bosch
3–1
W
17 Apr
vs Waalwijk
5–1
W
3.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AZ Alkmaar and ADO Den Haag.
What is the prediction for AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag?
On our numbers AZ Alkmaar have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and ADO Den Haag 17%.
How many goals will there be in AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag?
Our predicted score is AZ Alkmaar 2–1 ADO Den Haag, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag?
AZ Alkmaar vs ADO Den Haag (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at AFAS Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
