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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Telstar v Sparta Rotterdam: numbers & prediction

Eredivisie · Netherlands · BUKO Stadion

Telstar

WLWLL
1–3
FT
Telstar 42%Draw 21%Sparta Rotterdam 37% Expected goals 1.34 – 1.22
68%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.55 · Lost ✗

7/10Rating
1.55Odds

Picks by market

ResultTelstar to win ✗42% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.48
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.83

Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 14 August the Eredivisie brings Telstar against Sparta Rotterdam at BUKO Stadion. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Telstar are 16th, in the drop zone, on 10 points after 12 matches; Sparta Rotterdam are 12th (lower half) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Telstar, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over NEC Nijmegen, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Sparta Rotterdam, last 5: LDDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Feyenoord, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Telstar, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Sparta Rotterdam.

Head to head

When they last met (11 Jul 2026) it ended Sparta Rotterdam 1–0 Telstar. The last 2 head-to-heads: Telstar 1 win, Sparta Rotterdam 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Telstar 1.3 xG, Sparta Rotterdam 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Telstar 42%, draw 21%, Sparta Rotterdam 37%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.48.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (68%, odds 1.55 – longer than our fair 1.48, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Telstar 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Telstar42%fair 2.36 · @2.24
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.70
Sparta Rotterdam37%fair 2.72 · @2.84
2.55Expected goals
1.34Telstar xG
1.22Sparta Rotterdam xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%

From our goals model: Telstar 1.3 – 1.2 Sparta Rotterdam expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTelstar to win ✗42%2.362.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.681.48
Draw no betTelstar (draw no bet) ✗54%1.87–
Asian handicapSparta Rotterdam +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76%1.311.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.871.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗68%1.481.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.22
First team to scoreTelstar to score first ✗48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗44%2.29–
Half-time / full-timeHT Telstar / FT Telstar ✗23%4.37–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%11.83–

Recent results

Telstar – last 6

WLWLLW
8 Aug@ NEC Nijmegen2–1W
31 Jul@ VfL Wolfsburg1–3L
17 Jul@ De Graafschap6–3W
11 Jul@ Sparta Rotterdam0–1L
4 Jul@ Almere City FC1–2L
17 May@ FC Volendam2–1W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Sparta Rotterdam – last 6

LDDLLW
9 Augvs Feyenoord0–1L
1 Augvs MSV Duisburg0–0D
28 Julvs Asteras Tripolis1–1D
25 Jul@ Zulte Waregem2–3L
18 Jul@ SV Meppen2–3L
11 Julvs Telstar1–0W
1.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

11 Jul 2026Sparta Rotterdam v Telstar1–0
22 Apr 2026Telstar v Sparta Rotterdam4–1
Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam head-to-head page →

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1PSV Eindhoven12822+2526
2Feyenoord12741+1925
3Ajax12741+1725
4Twente12732+1824
5AZ Alkmaar12723+823
6Heerenveen12633+821
7Fortuna Sittard12552020
8GO Ahead Eagles12453-317
9Groningen12435+115
10Cambuur12435-215
11NEC Nijmegen12354-114
12Sparta Rotterdam12336-812
13PEC Zwolle12336-1112
14Utrecht12336-1312
15Excelsior12327-1311
16Telstar12246-710
17ADO Den Haag12237-99
18Willem II12039-293

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?

On our numbers Telstar have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sparta Rotterdam 37%.

How many goals will there be in Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?

We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Our predicted score is Telstar 1–1 Sparta Rotterdam, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.

When is Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam?

Telstar vs Sparta Rotterdam (Eredivisie) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at BUKO Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.