Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.61 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.61Odds
Picks by market
ResultAZ Alkmaar to win ✓66% · @1.61
Double chanceAZ Alkmaar or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓85% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Fortuna Sittard welcome AZ Alkmaar to Fortuna Sittard Stadion for a Eredivisie fixture on Saturday 22 August (15:30 WAT). In the table, Fortuna Sittard are 7th, upper half, on 20 points after 12 matches; AZ Alkmaar are 5th (upper half) with 23. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Fortuna Sittard, last 5: WDWLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Cambuur, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
AZ Alkmaar, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Utrecht, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours AZ Alkmaar, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.7 for Fortuna Sittard.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fortuna Sittard 1.1 xG, AZ Alkmaar 2.4 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fortuna Sittard 15%, draw 19%, AZ Alkmaar 66%.
Lower-risk option: AZ Alkmaar or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was AZ Alkmaar to win (66%, odds 1.61 – longer than our fair 1.52, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fortuna Sittard 1–2 AZ Alkmaar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fortuna Sittard15%fair 6.62 · @4.65
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @4.30
AZ Alkmaar66%fair 1.52 · @1.61
3.52Expected goals
1.10Fortuna Sittard xG
2.42AZ Alkmaar xG
66%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
0–29%
1–18%
1–38%
0–17%
0–37%
From our goals model: Fortuna Sittard 1.1 – 2.4 AZ Alkmaar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AZ Alkmaar to win✓
66%
1.52
1.61 ▲
Double chance
AZ Alkmaar or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.50
Draw no bet
AZ Alkmaar (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
AZ Alkmaar -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.18
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.25
First team to score
AZ Alkmaar to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
AZ Alkmaar ahead at half-time✗
50%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AZ Alkmaar / FT AZ Alkmaar✗
44%
2.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.48
–
Recent results
Fortuna Sittard – last 6
WDWLLW
15 Aug
vs Cambuur
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ PSV Eindhoven
2–2
D
31 Jul
vs Apoel Nicosia
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Metz
1–3
L
17 Jul
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
1–3
L
11 Jul
vs Genk
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
AZ Alkmaar – last 6
WWWWWD
15 Aug
@ Utrecht
4–1
W
8 Aug
vs ADO Den Haag
2–0
W
2 Aug
@ PSV Eindhoven
4–0
W
25 Jul
vs Olympiakos Piraeus
3–2
W
22 Jul
vs Genk
4–0
W
18 Jul
@ Zulte Waregem
1–1
D
3.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fortuna Sittard and AZ Alkmaar.
What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our pick is AZ Alkmaar to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.61.
Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar?
On our numbers Fortuna Sittard have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 19% and AZ Alkmaar 66%.
How many goals will there be in Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar?
Our predicted score is Fortuna Sittard 1–2 AZ Alkmaar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar?
Fortuna Sittard vs AZ Alkmaar (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
