NEC Nijmegen v Excelsior: numbers & prediction

NEC Nijmegen vs Excelsior: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Excelsior travel to face NEC Nijmegen on Tuesday 8 September in the Eredivisie, with Stadion de Goffert the venue – the ball rolls at 17:45 WAT. In the table, NEC Nijmegen are 11th, lower half, on 14 points after 12 matches; Excelsior are 15th (lower half) with 11. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

NEC Nijmegen, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Feyenoord, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Excelsior, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Willem II, away. Away from home the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 3.3 goals per game.

Momentum favours Excelsior, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.2 for NEC Nijmegen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give NEC Nijmegen 2.5 xG, Excelsior 1.2 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 70% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

• 1X2 according to our numbers – NEC Nijmegen 65%, draw 21%, Excelsior 14%.
• Lower-risk option: NEC Nijmegen or draw (86%) at 1.14.
• GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was NEC Nijmegen to win (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: NEC Nijmegen 2–1 Excelsior. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.