Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Friday 28 August: Groningen v Fortuna Sittard in the Eredivisie, played at Euroborg. In the table, Groningen are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 12 matches; Fortuna Sittard are 7th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Groningen, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to PSV Eindhoven, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Fortuna Sittard, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to AZ Alkmaar, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Groningen, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Fortuna Sittard.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Groningen 2.6 xG, Fortuna Sittard 1.1 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Groningen 66%, draw 22%, Fortuna Sittard 12%.
Lower-risk option: Groningen or draw (88%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Groningen 2–1 Fortuna Sittard. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Groningen66%fair 1.52 · @1.52
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @4.40
Fortuna Sittard12%fair 8.21 · @5.40
3.68Expected goals
2.55Groningen xG
1.12Fortuna Sittard xG
66%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
2–08%
3–18%
1–17%
3–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: Groningen 2.6 – 1.1 Fortuna Sittard expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Groningen to win✗
66%
1.52
1.52
Double chance
Groningen or draw✗
88%
1.14
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.52
1.50
Draw no bet
Groningen (draw no bet)✗
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Groningen -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.14
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.45
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
53%
1.90
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
1.30
First team to score
Groningen to score first
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Groningen ahead at half-time✗
51%
1.95
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Groningen / FT Groningen✗
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.79
–
Recent results
Groningen – last 6
LWWWDL
23 Aug
@ PSV Eindhoven
1–5
L
16 Aug
@ ADO Den Haag
4–1
W
9 Aug
vs Utrecht
2–1
W
1 Aug
vs Valladolid
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs Volos NFC
0–0
D
24 Jul
vs FC Volendam
0–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Fortuna Sittard – last 6
LWDWLL
22 Aug
vs AZ Alkmaar
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Cambuur
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ PSV Eindhoven
2–2
D
31 Jul
vs Apoel Nicosia
2–1
W
25 Jul
@ Metz
1–3
L
17 Jul
@ Olympiakos Piraeus
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Groningen and Fortuna Sittard.
What is the prediction for Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard?
On our numbers Groningen have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fortuna Sittard 12%.
How many goals will there be in Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard?
We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard?
Our predicted score is Groningen 2–1 Fortuna Sittard, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.
When is Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard?
Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard (Eredivisie) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Euroborg.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
