Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.45Odds
1
Value bet: Sparta Rotterdam to win @ 1.79 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSparta Rotterdam to win ✗62% · @1.79
Double chanceEither team to win ✗86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.42
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 4 September the Eredivisie brings Sparta Rotterdam against PEC Zwolle at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Sparta Rotterdam are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; PEC Zwolle are 13th (lower half) with 12. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sparta Rotterdam, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Excelsior, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
PEC Zwolle, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to NEC Nijmegen, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Sparta Rotterdam, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.5 for PEC Zwolle.
Head to head
When they last met (8 Mar 2026) it ended Sparta Rotterdam 1–1 PEC Zwolle.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sparta Rotterdam 2.1 xG, PEC Zwolle 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 65% and GG at 64%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sparta Rotterdam 62%, draw 14%, PEC Zwolle 24%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.42.
Price worth noting: Sparta Rotterdam to win @1.79 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 PEC Zwolle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sparta Rotterdam62%fair 1.61 · @1.79
Draw14%fair 7.18 · @3.95
PEC Zwolle24%fair 4.15 · @3.85
3.30Expected goals
2.11Sparta Rotterdam xG
1.19PEC Zwolle xG
64%Both score
65%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–08%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Sparta Rotterdam 2.1 – 1.2 PEC Zwolle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?
On our numbers Sparta Rotterdam have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 14% and PEC Zwolle 24%.
How many goals will there be in Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 65% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?
Our predicted score is Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 PEC Zwolle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle?
Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle (Eredivisie) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
