Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultAjax to win ✓67% · @1.40
Double chanceAjax or draw ✓84% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓73% · fair 1.37
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.97
Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Fortuna Sittard v Ajax in the Eredivisie, played at Fortuna Sittard Stadion. In the table, Fortuna Sittard are 7th, upper half, on 20 points after 12 matches; Ajax are 3rd (among the top four) with 25.
Current form
Fortuna Sittard, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over ADO Den Haag, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Ajax, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to PSV Eindhoven, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.0 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Fortuna Sittard 1.2 xG, Ajax 2.6 xG – a total near 3.8. That is an open game on paper: 73% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Fortuna Sittard 16%, draw 18%, Ajax 67%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Fortuna Sittard 1–2 Ajax. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Fortuna Sittard16%fair 6.40 · @6.00
Draw18%fair 5.65 · @4.60
Ajax67%fair 1.50 · @1.40
3.78Expected goals
1.20Fortuna Sittard xG
2.58Ajax xG
66%Both score
73%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–38%
0–28%
1–17%
0–36%
0–16%
From our goals model: Fortuna Sittard 1.2 – 2.6 Ajax expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ajax to win✓
67%
1.50
1.40
Double chance
Ajax or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.51
1.50
Draw no bet
Ajax (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Ajax -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
–
First team to score
Ajax to score first✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Ajax ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ajax / FT Ajax✓
45%
2.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.97
–
Recent results
Fortuna Sittard – last 6
WWLWDW
6 Sep
@ ADO Den Haag
3–2
W
28 Aug
@ Groningen
3–2
W
22 Aug
vs AZ Alkmaar
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Cambuur
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ PSV Eindhoven
2–2
D
31 Jul
vs Apoel Nicosia
2–1
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ajax – last 6
LWWWDD
5 Sep
vs PSV Eindhoven
1–3
L
30 Aug
@ Telstar
4–0
W
27 Aug
vs FC Sion
5–3
W
20 Aug
@ FC Sion
4–2
W
16 Aug
vs Heerenveen
2–2
D
13 Aug
@ Shelbourne
2–2
D
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Fortuna Sittard and Ajax.
What is the prediction for Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax?
On our numbers Fortuna Sittard have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Ajax 67%.
How many goals will there be in Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 73% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax?
Our predicted score is Fortuna Sittard 1–2 Ajax, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax?
Fortuna Sittard vs Ajax (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Fortuna Sittard Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
