Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultGroningen to win ✓66% · @1.62
Double chanceGroningen or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.54
Groningen vs PEC Zwolle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Friday 18 September: Groningen v PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie, played at Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion. In the table, Groningen are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 12 matches; PEC Zwolle are 13th (lower half) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Groningen, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with GO Ahead Eagles, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
PEC Zwolle, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–7 defeat to Feyenoord, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Groningen, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for PEC Zwolle.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended PEC Zwolle 1–1 Groningen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Groningen 2.7 xG, PEC Zwolle 1.3 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Groningen 66%, draw 20%, PEC Zwolle 13%.
Lower-risk option: Groningen or draw (87%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Groningen to win (66%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Groningen 2–1 PEC Zwolle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Groningen66%fair 1.51 · @1.62
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @4.00
PEC Zwolle13%fair 7.45 · @4.60
4.00Expected goals
2.73Groningen xG
1.27PEC Zwolle xG
67%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–16%
3–06%
2–25%
From our goals model: Groningen 2.7 – 1.3 PEC Zwolle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Groningen vs PEC Zwolle?
Our pick is Groningen to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Groningen vs PEC Zwolle?
On our numbers Groningen have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and PEC Zwolle 13%.
How many goals will there be in Groningen vs PEC Zwolle?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Groningen vs PEC Zwolle?
Our predicted score is Groningen 2–1 PEC Zwolle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Groningen vs PEC Zwolle?
Groningen vs PEC Zwolle (Eredivisie) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.