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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Groningen v PEC Zwolle: numbers & prediction

Eredivisie · Netherlands · Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion
3–0
FT
Groningen 66%Draw 20%PEC Zwolle 13% Expected goals 2.73 – 1.27
66%
Betarazi pick

Groningen to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultGroningen to win ✓66% · @1.62
Double chanceGroningen or draw ✓87% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.54

Groningen vs PEC Zwolle: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Friday 18 September: Groningen v PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie, played at Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion. In the table, Groningen are 9th, upper half, on 15 points after 12 matches; PEC Zwolle are 13th (lower half) with 12. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Groningen, last 5: DDLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with GO Ahead Eagles, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.

PEC Zwolle, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–7 defeat to Feyenoord, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Groningen, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.7 for PEC Zwolle.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Mar 2026) it ended PEC Zwolle 1–1 Groningen.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Groningen 2.7 xG, PEC Zwolle 1.3 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Groningen 66%, draw 20%, PEC Zwolle 13%.
  • Lower-risk option: Groningen or draw (87%) at 1.18.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Groningen to win (66%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.51, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Groningen 2–1 PEC Zwolle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Groningen66%fair 1.51 · @1.62
Draw20%fair 4.93 · @4.00
PEC Zwolle13%fair 7.45 · @4.60
4.00Expected goals
2.73Groningen xG
1.27PEC Zwolle xG
67%Both score
76%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–16%
3–06%
2–25%

From our goals model: Groningen 2.7 – 1.3 PEC Zwolle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultGroningen to win ✓66%1.511.62 ▲
Double chanceGroningen or draw ✓87%1.151.18
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗67%1.491.44
Draw no betGroningen (draw no bet) ✓83%1.20–
Asian handicapGroningen -1 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.66–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76%1.31–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗57%1.77–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓63%1.59–
First team to scoreGroningen to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultGroningen ahead at half-time ✓52%1.93–
Half-time / full-timeHT Groningen / FT Groningen ✓46%2.16–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.54–

Recent results

Groningen – last 6

DDLLWW
12 Sep@ GO Ahead Eagles1–1D
6 Sepvs Twente2–2D
28 Augvs Fortuna Sittard2–3L
23 Aug@ PSV Eindhoven1–5L
16 Aug@ ADO Den Haag4–1W
9 Augvs Utrecht2–1W
2.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

PEC Zwolle – last 6

LDLWLL
13 Sepvs Feyenoord0–7L
4 Sep@ Sparta Rotterdam2–2D
29 Augvs NEC Nijmegen1–3L
22 Aug@ Heerenveen2–0W
16 Aug@ Twente1–3L
9 Augvs Ajax0–2L
1.0Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Mar 2026PEC Zwolle v Groningen1–1
Groningen vs PEC Zwolle head-to-head page →

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1PSV Eindhoven12822+2526
2Feyenoord12741+1925
3Ajax12741+1725
4Twente12732+1824
5AZ Alkmaar12723+823
6Heerenveen12633+821
7Fortuna Sittard12552020
8GO Ahead Eagles12453-317
9Groningen12435+115
10Cambuur12435-215
11NEC Nijmegen12354-114
12Sparta Rotterdam12336-812
13PEC Zwolle12336-1112
14Utrecht12336-1312
15Excelsior12327-1311
16Telstar12246-710
17ADO Den Haag12237-99
18Willem II12039-293

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Groningen vs PEC Zwolle?

Our pick is Groningen to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Groningen vs PEC Zwolle?

On our numbers Groningen have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 20% and PEC Zwolle 13%.

How many goals will there be in Groningen vs PEC Zwolle?

We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Groningen vs PEC Zwolle?

Our predicted score is Groningen 2–1 PEC Zwolle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.

When is Groningen vs PEC Zwolle?

Groningen vs PEC Zwolle (Eredivisie) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Hitachi Capital Mobility Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.