AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AZ Alkmaar welcome Telstar to AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar） for a Eredivisie fixture on Sunday 20 September (13:30 WAT). In the table, AZ Alkmaar are 5th, upper half, on 23 points after 12 matches; Telstar are 16th (in the drop zone) with 10. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
AZ Alkmaar, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sunderland, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Telstar, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Heerenveen, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours AZ Alkmaar, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Telstar.
Head to head
When they last met (4 Mar 2026) it ended AZ Alkmaar 2–1 Telstar.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AZ Alkmaar 2.4 xG, Telstar 0.9 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AZ Alkmaar 70%, draw 20%, Telstar 10%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was AZ Alkmaar to win (70%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: AZ Alkmaar 2–0 Telstar. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AZ Alkmaar70%fair 1.44 · @1.22
Draw20%fair 4.98 · @6.00
Telstar10%fair 9.63 · @9.50
3.25Expected goals
2.38AZ Alkmaar xG
0.87Telstar xG
58%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
2–110%
1–09%
3–09%
1–18%
3–18%
From our goals model: AZ Alkmaar 2.4 – 0.9 Telstar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is AZ Alkmaar to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?
On our numbers AZ Alkmaar have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Telstar 10%.
How many goals will there be in AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?
Our predicted score is AZ Alkmaar 2–0 Telstar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar?
AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar (Eredivisie) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at AFAS Stadion（Alkmaar）.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
