PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
PSV Eindhoven welcome Heerenveen to Philips Stadion for a Eredivisie fixture on Friday 9 October (19:00 WAT). In the table, PSV Eindhoven are 1st, leading the league, on 26 points after 12 matches; Heerenveen are 6th (upper half) with 21.
Current form
PSV Eindhoven, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Twente, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 3.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Heerenveen, last 5: WDLDL Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Sparta Rotterdam, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours PSV Eindhoven, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Heerenveen.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PSV Eindhoven 2.7 xG, Heerenveen 1.2 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PSV Eindhoven 69%, draw 15%, Heerenveen 16%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.36.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was PSV Eindhoven to win (69%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: PSV Eindhoven 2–1 Heerenveen. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PSV Eindhoven69%fair 1.45 · @1.22
Draw15%fair 6.60 · @6.50
Heerenveen16%fair 6.31 · @8.50
3.86Expected goals
2.66PSV Eindhoven xG
1.20Heerenveen xG
66%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
2–07%
1–17%
3–07%
1–06%
From our goals model: PSV Eindhoven 2.7 – 1.2 Heerenveen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PSV Eindhoven to win✓
69%
1.45
1.22
Double chance
Either team to win✓
85%
1.18
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
66%
1.52
1.36
Draw no bet
PSV Eindhoven (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
PSV Eindhoven -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
First team to score
PSV Eindhoven to score first✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
PSV Eindhoven ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PSV Eindhoven / FT PSV Eindhoven✓
46%
2.17
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.18
–
Recent results
PSV Eindhoven – last 6
LWDWWW
20 Sep
@ Twente
2–3
L
13 Sep
vs Sparta Rotterdam
4–1
W
10 Sep
vs Shakhtar Donetsk
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Ajax
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ Utrecht
6–1
W
23 Aug
vs Groningen
5–1
W
3.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Heerenveen – last 6
WDLDLD
19 Sep
@ Sparta Rotterdam
4–0
W
13 Sep
vs Telstar
0–0
D
6 Sep
vs AZ Alkmaar
2–3
L
30 Aug
@ Willem II
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs PEC Zwolle
0–2
L
16 Aug
@ Ajax
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PSV Eindhoven and Heerenveen.
What is the prediction for PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?
Our pick is PSV Eindhoven to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?
On our numbers PSV Eindhoven have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Heerenveen 16%.
How many goals will there be in PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?
Our predicted score is PSV Eindhoven 2–1 Heerenveen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen?
PSV Eindhoven vs Heerenveen (Eredivisie) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Philips Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
