Double chanceSparta Rotterdam or draw ✓81% · @1.17
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓69% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.37
Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 17 October the Eredivisie brings Sparta Rotterdam against Willem II at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Sparta Rotterdam are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 12 matches; Willem II are 18th (in the drop zone) with 3.
Current form
Sparta Rotterdam, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with GO Ahead Eagles, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Willem II, last 5: LLLDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Utrecht, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sparta Rotterdam 2.6 xG, Willem II 1.4 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 75% and GG at 69%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sparta Rotterdam 62%, draw 19%, Willem II 19%.
Lower-risk option: Sparta Rotterdam or draw (81%) at 1.17.
GG/NG: GG (69%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (69%, odds 1.50 – longer than our fair 1.46, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 Willem II. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sparta Rotterdam62%fair 1.61 · @1.60
Draw19%fair 5.22 · @4.00
Willem II19%fair 5.37 · @4.75
3.94Expected goals
2.56Sparta Rotterdam xG
1.38Willem II xG
69%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–17%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–05%
From our goals model: Sparta Rotterdam 2.6 – 1.4 Willem II expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sparta Rotterdam to win✓
62%
1.61
1.60
Double chance
Sparta Rotterdam or draw✓
81%
1.23
1.17
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
69%
1.46
1.50
Draw no bet
Sparta Rotterdam (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Sparta Rotterdam -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
64%
1.56
–
First team to score
Sparta Rotterdam to score first
64%
1.57
–
Half-time result
Sparta Rotterdam ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sparta Rotterdam / FT Sparta Rotterdam✗
42%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.37
–
Recent results
Sparta Rotterdam – last 6
DLLDLD
10 Oct
@ GO Ahead Eagles
3–3
D
19 Sep
vs Heerenveen
0–4
L
13 Sep
@ PSV Eindhoven
1–4
L
4 Sep
vs PEC Zwolle
2–2
D
29 Aug
@ Excelsior
1–2
L
22 Aug
vs Utrecht
3–3
D
1.7Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Willem II – last 6
LLLDLD
11 Oct
@ Utrecht
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Fortuna Sittard
0–1
L
15 Sep
@ Ajax
1–5
L
11 Sep
@ AZ Alkmaar
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Excelsior
0–3
L
30 Aug
vs Heerenveen
2–2
D
0.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sparta Rotterdam and Willem II.
What is the prediction for Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?
On our numbers Sparta Rotterdam have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Willem II 19%.
How many goals will there be in Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 69% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?
Our predicted score is Sparta Rotterdam 2–1 Willem II, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II?
Sparta Rotterdam vs Willem II (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
