Willem II 33%Draw 21%Cambuur 46%Expected goals 1.75 – 2.08
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2
Value bet: Cambuur to win @ 2.50 – our chance 46% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCambuur to win ✓46% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.19
Willem II vs Cambuur: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:45 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Willem II v Cambuur in the Eredivisie, played at Koning Willem II Stadion. In the table, Willem II are 18th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 12 matches; Cambuur are 10th (lower half) with 15. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Willem II, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Sparta Rotterdam, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Cambuur, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with AZ Alkmaar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Cambuur, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Willem II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Willem II 1.8 xG, Cambuur 2.1 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Willem II 33%, draw 21%, Cambuur 46%.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.
Price worth noting: Cambuur to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 46%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Willem II 1–2 Cambuur. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Willem II33%fair 3.02 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.50
Cambuur46%fair 2.19 · @2.50
3.83Expected goals
1.75Willem II xG
2.08Cambuur xG
67%Both score
74%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%
From our goals model: Willem II 1.8 – 2.1 Cambuur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cambuur to win✓
46%
2.19
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.48
1.40
Draw no bet
Cambuur (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.72
–
Asian handicap
Willem II +1 (Asian handicap)✗
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
First team to score
Cambuur to score first✓
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Cambuur ahead at half-time✓
37%
2.71
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cambuur / FT Cambuur✓
28%
3.51
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.19
–
Recent results
Willem II – last 6
LLLLDL
17 Oct
@ Sparta Rotterdam
2–3
L
11 Oct
@ Utrecht
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Fortuna Sittard
0–1
L
15 Sep
@ Ajax
1–5
L
11 Sep
@ AZ Alkmaar
1–1
D
5 Sep
vs Excelsior
0–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cambuur – last 6
DWDWDL
18 Oct
vs AZ Alkmaar
2–2
D
11 Oct
@ PEC Zwolle
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ ADO Den Haag
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs NEC Nijmegen
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Telstar
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs Twente
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Willem II and Cambuur.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Willem II vs Cambuur?
On our numbers Willem II have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cambuur 46%.
How many goals will there be in Willem II vs Cambuur?
We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Willem II vs Cambuur?
Our predicted score is Willem II 1–2 Cambuur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.
When is Willem II vs Cambuur?
Willem II vs Cambuur (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Koning Willem II Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.