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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Willem II v Cambuur: numbers & prediction

Eredivisie · Netherlands · Koning Willem II Stadion
1–6
FT

Cambuur

DWDWD
Willem II 33%Draw 21%Cambuur 46% Expected goals 1.75 – 2.08
67%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds
2

Value bet: Cambuur to win @ 2.50 – our chance 46% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultCambuur to win ✓46% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.19

Willem II vs Cambuur: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

17:45 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Willem II v Cambuur in the Eredivisie, played at Koning Willem II Stadion. In the table, Willem II are 18th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 12 matches; Cambuur are 10th (lower half) with 15. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Willem II, last 5: LLLLD Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Sparta Rotterdam, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Cambuur, last 5: DWDWD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with AZ Alkmaar, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Cambuur, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.2 for Willem II.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Willem II 1.8 xG, Cambuur 2.1 xG – a total near 3.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 74% and GG at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Willem II 33%, draw 21%, Cambuur 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.
  • Price worth noting: Cambuur to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 46%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Willem II 1–2 Cambuur. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Willem II33%fair 3.02 · @2.50
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.50
Cambuur46%fair 2.19 · @2.50
3.83Expected goals
1.75Willem II xG
2.08Cambuur xG
67%Both score
74%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–28%
1–18%
2–27%
2–17%
1–36%
2–35%

From our goals model: Willem II 1.8 – 2.1 Cambuur expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCambuur to win ✓46%2.192.50 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓67%1.481.40
Draw no betCambuur (draw no bet) ✓58%1.72–
Asian handicapWillem II +1 (Asian handicap) ✗67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓90%1.12–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓53%1.88–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗66%1.51–
First team to scoreCambuur to score first ✓53%1.89–
Half-time resultCambuur ahead at half-time ✓37%2.71–
Half-time / full-timeHT Cambuur / FT Cambuur ✓28%3.51–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.19–

Recent results

Willem II – last 6

LLLLDL
17 Oct@ Sparta Rotterdam2–3L
11 Oct@ Utrecht1–3L
19 Sepvs Fortuna Sittard0–1L
15 Sep@ Ajax1–5L
11 Sep@ AZ Alkmaar1–1D
5 Sepvs Excelsior0–3L
0.8Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Cambuur – last 6

DWDWDL
18 Octvs AZ Alkmaar2–2D
11 Oct@ PEC Zwolle1–0W
19 Sep@ ADO Den Haag1–1D
12 Sepvs NEC Nijmegen3–0W
6 Sep@ Telstar2–2D
30 Augvs Twente1–4L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Willem II and Cambuur.

Willem II vs Cambuur head-to-head page →

Eredivisie table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1PSV Eindhoven12822+2526
2Feyenoord12741+1925
3Ajax12741+1725
4Twente12732+1824
5AZ Alkmaar12723+823
6Heerenveen12633+821
7Fortuna Sittard12552020
8GO Ahead Eagles12453-317
9Groningen12435+115
10Cambuur12435-215
11NEC Nijmegen12354-114
12Sparta Rotterdam12336-812
13PEC Zwolle12336-1112
14Utrecht12336-1312
15Excelsior12327-1311
16Telstar12246-710
17ADO Den Haag12237-99
18Willem II12039-293

More Eredivisie predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Willem II vs Cambuur?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Willem II vs Cambuur?

On our numbers Willem II have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cambuur 46%.

How many goals will there be in Willem II vs Cambuur?

We expect about 3.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 74% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Willem II vs Cambuur?

Our predicted score is Willem II 1–2 Cambuur, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.8 goals in total.

When is Willem II vs Cambuur?

Willem II vs Cambuur (Eredivisie) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 17:45 (West Africa Time) at Koning Willem II Stadion.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.