Willem II 28%Draw 21%PEC Zwolle 51%Expected goals 1.44 – 2.00
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
2
Value bet: PEC Zwolle to win @ 2.10 – our chance 51% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPEC Zwolle to win ✗51% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.84
Willem II vs PEC Zwolle: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Friday 6 November: Willem II v PEC Zwolle in the Eredivisie, played at Koning Willem II Stadion. In the table, Willem II are 18th, in the drop zone, on 3 points after 12 matches; PEC Zwolle are 13th (lower half) with 12.
Current form
Willem II, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–7 defeat to PSV Eindhoven, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 3.8 conceded per game.
PEC Zwolle, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over ADO Den Haag, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours PEC Zwolle, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Willem II.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Willem II 1.4 xG, PEC Zwolle 2.0 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 63% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Willem II 28%, draw 21%, PEC Zwolle 51%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: PEC Zwolle to win @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 51%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Willem II 1–1 PEC Zwolle. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Willem II28%fair 3.57 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.60
PEC Zwolle51%fair 1.97 · @2.10
3.44Expected goals
1.44Willem II xG
2.00PEC Zwolle xG
66%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–29%
2–17%
2–27%
0–16%
0–26%
From our goals model: Willem II 1.4 – 2.0 PEC Zwolle expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PEC Zwolle to win✗
51%
1.97
2.10 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
66%
1.50
1.50
Draw no bet
PEC Zwolle (draw no bet)
64%
1.55
–
Asian handicap
Willem II +1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
1.17
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.53
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.20
First team to score
PEC Zwolle to score first
56%
1.78
–
Half-time result
PEC Zwolle ahead at half-time✗
39%
2.56
–
Half-time / full-time
HT PEC Zwolle / FT PEC Zwolle✗
31%
3.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.84
–
Recent results
Willem II – last 6
LWLLLL
31 Oct
@ PSV Eindhoven
0–7
L
27 Oct
@ Helmond Sport
4–3
W
24 Oct
vs Cambuur
1–6
L
17 Oct
@ Sparta Rotterdam
2–3
L
11 Oct
@ Utrecht
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Fortuna Sittard
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
3.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
PEC Zwolle – last 6
WLDWLL
1 Nov
vs ADO Den Haag
1–0
W
28 Oct
vs FC OSS
1–2
L
24 Oct
@ Utrecht
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs GO Ahead Eagles
4–1
W
11 Oct
vs Cambuur
0–1
L
18 Sep
@ Groningen
0–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Willem II and PEC Zwolle.
What is the prediction for Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
On our numbers Willem II have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 21% and PEC Zwolle 51%.
How many goals will there be in Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
Our predicted score is Willem II 1–1 PEC Zwolle, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Willem II vs PEC Zwolle?
Willem II vs PEC Zwolle (Eredivisie) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Koning Willem II Stadion.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
