Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Saint Etienne to win @ 1.85 – our chance 64% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSaint Etienne to win ✓64% · @1.85
Double chanceSaint Etienne or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.33
Dijon vs Saint Etienne: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Saint Etienne travel to face Dijon on Monday 31 August in the Ligue 2, with Stade Gaston Gerard the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Dijon are 6th, upper half, on 18 points after 12 matches; Saint Etienne are 1st (leading the league) with 28.
Current form
Dijon, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Clermont Foot, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Saint Etienne, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Grenoble, at home. Scoring is no problem – 3.2 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Saint Etienne, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Dijon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Dijon 0.8 xG, Saint Etienne 1.9 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Dijon 16%, draw 20%, Saint Etienne 64%.
Lower-risk option: Saint Etienne or draw (84%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Saint Etienne to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 64%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Saint Etienne or draw (84%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Dijon 0–1 Saint Etienne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Dijon16%fair 6.22 · @3.90
Draw20%fair 4.91 · @3.40
Saint Etienne64%fair 1.57 · @1.85
2.67Expected goals
0.80Dijon xG
1.87Saint Etienne xG
53%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
0–212%
1–110%
1–210%
0–38%
0–07%
From our goals model: Dijon 0.8 – 1.9 Saint Etienne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saint Etienne to win✓
64%
1.57
1.85 ▲
Double chance
Saint Etienne or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.75
Draw no bet
Saint Etienne (draw no bet)✓
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Saint Etienne -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
2.00
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Saint Etienne to score first
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Saint Etienne ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saint Etienne / FT Saint Etienne✗
40%
2.52
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.33
–
Recent results
Dijon – last 6
DLDDWW
21 Aug
@ Clermont Foot
1–1
D
14 Aug
vs PAU
0–1
L
8 Aug
@ Montpellier
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Nancy
2–2
D
25 Jul
@ Sochaux
3–0
W
22 Jul
@ Bourg-en-bresse 01
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Saint Etienne – last 6
WWWWWL
22 Aug
vs Grenoble
4–0
W
14 Aug
vs Clermont Foot
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ Sochaux
3–0
W
1 Aug
vs Venezia
4–3
W
29 Jul
vs Lausanne
4–0
W
22 Jul
@ Rangers
1–2
L
3.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Dijon and Saint Etienne.
What is the prediction for Dijon vs Saint Etienne?
Our pick is Saint Etienne or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Dijon vs Saint Etienne?
On our numbers Dijon have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Saint Etienne 64%.
How many goals will there be in Dijon vs Saint Etienne?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Dijon vs Saint Etienne?
Our predicted score is Dijon 0–1 Saint Etienne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Dijon vs Saint Etienne?
Dijon vs Saint Etienne (Ligue 2) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Gaston Gerard.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
