Value bet: Guingamp to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultNantes to win ✗40% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.92
Guingamp vs Nantes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Guingamp welcome Nantes to Stade de Roudourou for a Ligue 2 fixture on Saturday 29 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Guingamp are 11th, lower half, on 14 points after 12 matches; Nantes are 14th (lower half) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Guingamp, last 5: LWLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sochaux, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Nantes, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to Rodez, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guingamp 1.3 xG, Nantes 1.4 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guingamp 38%, draw 22%, Nantes 40%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Guingamp to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guingamp 1–1 Nantes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guingamp38%fair 2.62 · @3.00
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.40
Nantes40%fair 2.49 · @2.25
2.69Expected goals
1.33Guingamp xG
1.37Nantes xG
62%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–09%
1–28%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Guingamp 1.3 – 1.4 Nantes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nantes to win✗
40%
2.49
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.65
Draw no bet
Nantes (draw no bet)
51%
1.95
–
Asian handicap
Guingamp +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
85%
1.17
1.12
First team to score
Nantes to score first
47%
2.11
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nantes / FT Nantes✗
22%
4.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.92
–
Recent results
Guingamp – last 6
LWLDLL
21 Aug
@ Sochaux
0–1
L
14 Aug
vs Boulogne
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Metz
1–2
L
1 Aug
@ Stade Brestois 29
3–3
D
25 Jul
vs Lorient
0–2
L
22 Jul
vs Concarneau
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Nantes – last 6
LLLWLD
22 Aug
vs Rodez
2–5
L
14 Aug
@ Laval
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs RED Star FC 93
0–1
L
31 Jul
vs Al Wakrah
5–1
W
25 Jul
@ Le Mans
0–1
L
22 Jul
vs La Roche VF
1–1
D
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guingamp and Nantes.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Guingamp vs Nantes?
On our numbers Guingamp have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nantes 40%.
How many goals will there be in Guingamp vs Nantes?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guingamp vs Nantes?
Our predicted score is Guingamp 1–1 Nantes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Guingamp vs Nantes?
Guingamp vs Nantes (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Roudourou.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
