Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Sochaux to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPAU to win ✗41% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.58
PAU vs Sochaux: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sochaux travel to face PAU on Friday 4 September in the Ligue 2, with Nouste Camp the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, PAU are 5th, upper half, on 20 points after 12 matches; Sochaux are 16th (in the drop zone) with 11.
Current form
PAU, last 5: DLWLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Rodez, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Sochaux, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Clermont Foot, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PAU 1.0 xG, Sochaux 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PAU 41%, draw 23%, Sochaux 36%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.77.
Price worth noting: Sochaux to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: PAU 1–0 Sochaux. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PAU41%fair 2.42 · @2.25
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.20
Sochaux36%fair 2.80 · @3.20
1.93Expected goals
1.02PAU xG
0.91Sochaux xG
53%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
0–014%
1–113%
0–113%
2–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: PAU 1.0 – 0.9 Sochaux expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
PAU to win✗
41%
2.42
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.77
Draw no bet
PAU (draw no bet)
54%
1.87
–
Asian handicap
Sochaux +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
1.73 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
1.08
First team to score
PAU to score first✓
45%
2.22
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
23%
4.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.58
–
Recent results
PAU – last 6
DLWLLL
28 Aug
@ Rodez
2–2
D
21 Aug
vs Nancy
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Dijon
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Annecy
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Real Unión
1–2
L
25 Jul
@ Real Sociedad II
0–4
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Sochaux – last 6
DWDLDL
28 Aug
@ Clermont Foot
0–0
D
21 Aug
vs Guingamp
1–0
W
14 Aug
@ RED Star FC 93
0–0
D
8 Aug
vs Saint Etienne
0–3
L
1 Aug
vs Auxerre
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Dijon
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PAU and Sochaux.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win PAU vs Sochaux?
On our numbers PAU have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sochaux 36%.
How many goals will there be in PAU vs Sochaux?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PAU vs Sochaux?
Our predicted score is PAU 1–0 Sochaux, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is PAU vs Sochaux?
PAU vs Sochaux (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Nouste Camp.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
