Value bet: Dunkerque to win @ 3.00 – our chance 39% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultDunkerque to win ✗39% · @3.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.42
PAU vs Dunkerque: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Friday 18 September: PAU v Dunkerque in the Ligue 2, played at Nouste Camp. In the table, PAU are 5th, upper half, on 20 points after 12 matches; Dunkerque are 10th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
PAU, last 5: LDDLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Montpellier, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Dunkerque, last 5: WDLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Saint Etienne, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give PAU 1.2 xG, Dunkerque 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – PAU 38%, draw 23%, Dunkerque 39%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Dunkerque to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (58%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: PAU 1–1 Dunkerque. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
PAU38%fair 2.60 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.25
Dunkerque39%fair 2.56 · @3.00
2.50Expected goals
1.24PAU xG
1.26Dunkerque xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: PAU 1.2 – 1.3 Dunkerque expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Dunkerque to win✗
39%
2.56
3.00 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.74
1.67
Draw no bet
Dunkerque (draw no bet)✗
50%
1.99
–
Asian handicap
PAU +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Dunkerque to score first✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Dunkerque / FT Dunkerque✗
21%
4.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.42
–
Recent results
PAU – last 6
LDDLWL
11 Sep
@ Montpellier
0–1
L
4 Sep
vs Sochaux
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Rodez
2–2
D
21 Aug
vs Nancy
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Dijon
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Annecy
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Dunkerque – last 6
WDLLDW
12 Sep
vs Saint Etienne
2–1
W
4 Sep
vs Clermont Foot
1–1
D
28 Aug
@ Nancy
0–2
L
21 Aug
vs Montpellier
0–1
L
14 Aug
@ Reims
3–3
D
8 Aug
vs Grenoble
4–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between PAU and Dunkerque.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win PAU vs Dunkerque?
On our numbers PAU have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Dunkerque 39%.
How many goals will there be in PAU vs Dunkerque?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for PAU vs Dunkerque?
Our predicted score is PAU 1–1 Dunkerque, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is PAU vs Dunkerque?
PAU vs Dunkerque (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Nouste Camp.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
