Saint Etienne vs Rodez: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the Ligue 2 brings Saint Etienne against Rodez at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Saint Etienne are 1st, leading the league, on 28 points after 12 matches; Rodez are 13th (lower half) with 13. There are 15 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Saint Etienne, last 5: WDLWW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over FC Sion, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Rodez, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Inter Club d'Escaldes, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Momentum favours Saint Etienne, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Rodez.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Saint Etienne 2.9 xG, Rodez 1.2 xG – a total near 4.1. That is an open game on paper: 77% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Saint Etienne 70%, draw 19%, Rodez 10%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Saint Etienne to win (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Saint Etienne 2–1 Rodez. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Saint Etienne70%fair 1.42 · @1.36
Draw19%fair 5.16 · @4.60
Rodez10%fair 9.74 · @7.00
4.07Expected goals
2.90Saint Etienne xG
1.17Rodez xG
65%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
4–16%
1–16%
From our goals model: Saint Etienne 2.9 – 1.2 Rodez expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saint Etienne to win✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Double chance
Saint Etienne or draw✓
90%
1.11
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
65%
1.54
1.60
Draw no bet
Saint Etienne (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Saint Etienne -1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
62%
1.63
–
First team to score
Saint Etienne to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Saint Etienne ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saint Etienne / FT Saint Etienne✓
50%
1.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.89
–
Recent results
Saint Etienne – last 6
WDLWWW
2 Oct
vs FC Sion
5–1
W
19 Sep
@ Metz
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Dunkerque
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Montpellier
3–1
W
31 Aug
@ Dijon
3–2
W
22 Aug
vs Grenoble
4–0
W
3.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Rodez – last 6
WLLLDW
3 Oct
vs Inter Club d'Escaldes
2–0
W
18 Sep
vs Nancy
3–4
L
11 Sep
vs Grenoble
0–1
L
5 Sep
@ Metz
1–4
L
28 Aug
vs PAU
2–2
D
22 Aug
@ Nantes
5–2
W
2.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saint Etienne and Rodez.
What is the prediction for Saint Etienne vs Rodez?
Our pick is Saint Etienne to win with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Saint Etienne vs Rodez?
On our numbers Saint Etienne have a 70% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Rodez 10%.
How many goals will there be in Saint Etienne vs Rodez?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saint Etienne vs Rodez?
Our predicted score is Saint Etienne 2–1 Rodez, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Saint Etienne vs Rodez?
Saint Etienne vs Rodez (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.