Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: PAU to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGuingamp to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.00
Guingamp vs PAU: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Friday 16 October: Guingamp v PAU in the Ligue 2, played at Stade de Roudourou. In the table, Guingamp are 11th, lower half, on 14 points after 12 matches; PAU are 5th (upper half) with 20.
Current form
Guingamp, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Nancy, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
PAU, last 5: WWLDD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Laval, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended PAU 2–1 Guingamp.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guingamp 1.3 xG, PAU 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guingamp 41%, draw 23%, PAU 36%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: PAU to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guingamp 1–1 PAU. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guingamp41%fair 2.43 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.25
PAU36%fair 2.76 · @3.00
2.50Expected goals
1.30Guingamp xG
1.20PAU xG
60%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Guingamp 1.3 – 1.2 PAU expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Guingamp vs PAU?
On our numbers Guingamp have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and PAU 36%.
How many goals will there be in Guingamp vs PAU?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guingamp vs PAU?
Our predicted score is Guingamp 1–1 PAU, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Guingamp vs PAU?
Guingamp vs PAU (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Roudourou.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
