Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Metz to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMetz to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceMetz or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.01
Metz vs Sochaux: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sochaux travel to face Metz on Saturday 17 October in the Ligue 2, with Stade Saint-Symphorien the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Metz are 7th, upper half, on 17 points after 12 matches; Sochaux are 16th (in the drop zone) with 11.
Current form
Metz, last 5: LDLWD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Dijon, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Sochaux, last 5: DDWDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Boulogne, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sochaux, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Metz.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Jul 2026) it ended Metz 4–1 Sochaux.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Metz 1.5 xG, Sochaux 0.6 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Metz 63%, draw 21%, Sochaux 17%.
Lower-risk option: Metz or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Metz to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Metz or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Metz 1–0 Sochaux. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Metz63%fair 1.59 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.50
Sochaux17%fair 6.03 · @4.40
2.13Expected goals
1.54Metz xG
0.59Sochaux xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–014%
0–012%
1–111%
2–18%
3–07%
From our goals model: Metz 1.5 – 0.6 Sochaux expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Metz or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Metz vs Sochaux?
On our numbers Metz have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Sochaux 17%.
How many goals will there be in Metz vs Sochaux?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metz vs Sochaux?
Our predicted score is Metz 1–0 Sochaux, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Metz vs Sochaux?
Metz vs Sochaux (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Saint-Symphorien.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
