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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Rodez v Montpellier: numbers & prediction

Ligue 2 · France · Stade Paul Lignon

Rodez

LWLLL
0–3
FT
Rodez 31%Draw 22%Montpellier 46% Expected goals 1.24 – 1.57
61%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.57 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultMontpellier to win ✓46% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.86

Rodez vs Montpellier: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Montpellier travel to face Rodez on Monday 19 October in the Ligue 2, with Stade Paul Lignon the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Rodez are 13th, lower half, on 13 points after 12 matches; Montpellier are 3rd (among the top four) with 24.

Current form

Rodez, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Saint Etienne, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.

Montpellier, last 5: WDWLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Grenoble, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Montpellier, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Rodez.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Aug 2026) it ended Montpellier 4–2 Rodez. The last 2 head-to-heads: Rodez 1 win, Montpellier 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Rodez 1.2 xG, Montpellier 1.6 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Rodez 31%, draw 22%, Montpellier 46%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rodez 1–1 Montpellier. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Rodez31%fair 3.19 · @2.88
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.30
Montpellier46%fair 2.16 · @2.25
2.81Expected goals
1.24Rodez xG
1.57Montpellier xG
61%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–07%
0–27%
2–17%

From our goals model: Rodez 1.2 – 1.6 Montpellier expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMontpellier to win ✓46%2.162.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗61%1.641.57
Draw no betMontpellier (draw no bet) ✓60%1.68–
Asian handicapRodez +1 (Asian handicap) ✗71%1.42–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreMontpellier to score first ✓53%1.90–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓41%2.44–
Half-time / full-timeHT Montpellier / FT Montpellier ✗27%3.71–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.86–

Recent results

Rodez – last 6

LWLLLD
10 Oct@ Saint Etienne0–2L
3 Octvs Inter Club d'Escaldes2–0W
18 Sepvs Nancy3–4L
11 Sepvs Grenoble0–1L
5 Sep@ Metz1–4L
28 Augvs PAU2–2D
1.3Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Montpellier – last 6

WDWLDW
9 Octvs Grenoble2–0W
18 Sep@ Reims1–1D
11 Sepvs PAU1–0W
5 Sep@ Saint Etienne1–3L
28 Augvs Boulogne0–0D
21 Aug@ Dunkerque1–0W
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Aug 2026Montpellier v Rodez4–2
20 Feb 2026Rodez v Montpellier1–0
Rodez vs Montpellier head-to-head page →

Ligue 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Saint Etienne12912+1428
2Nancy12813+825
3Montpellier12732+924
4Reims12561+921
5PAU12624+320
6Dijon12534+218
7Metz12453+117
8RED Star FC 9312525-317
9Annecy12516-416
10Dunkerque12435015
11Guingamp12426-214
12Boulogne12273+213
13Rodez12417-613
14Nantes12336-412
15Clermont Foot12183-411
16Sochaux12255-711
17Grenoble12327-911
18Laval12237-99

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rodez vs Montpellier?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Rodez vs Montpellier?

On our numbers Rodez have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Montpellier 46%.

How many goals will there be in Rodez vs Montpellier?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Rodez vs Montpellier?

Our predicted score is Rodez 1–1 Montpellier, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Rodez vs Montpellier?

Rodez vs Montpellier (Ligue 2) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Paul Lignon.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.