Saint Etienne 63%Draw 20%Nantes 17%Expected goals 2.14 – 1.03
83%
Betarazi pick
Saint Etienne or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Saint Etienne to win @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSaint Etienne to win ✓63% · @1.75
Double chanceSaint Etienne or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗82% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.10
Saint Etienne vs Nantes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Saint Etienne v Nantes in the Ligue 2, played at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard. In the table, Saint Etienne are 1st, leading the league, on 28 points after 12 matches; Nantes are 14th (lower half) with 12. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Saint Etienne, last 5: WWWDL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over RED Star FC 93, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Nantes, last 5: LDWLW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Dunkerque, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Saint Etienne, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Nantes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Saint Etienne 2.1 xG, Nantes 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Saint Etienne 63%, draw 20%, Nantes 17%.
Lower-risk option: Saint Etienne or draw (83%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Saint Etienne to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Saint Etienne or draw (83%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Saint Etienne 2–1 Nantes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Saint Etienne63%fair 1.59 · @1.75
Draw20%fair 4.97 · @3.50
Nantes17%fair 5.84 · @4.40
3.17Expected goals
2.14Saint Etienne xG
1.03Nantes xG
58%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–010%
1–19%
1–09%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Saint Etienne 2.1 – 1.0 Nantes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saint Etienne to win✓
63%
1.59
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Saint Etienne or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.73
1.73
Draw no bet
Saint Etienne (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Saint Etienne -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
82%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Saint Etienne to score first✓
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Saint Etienne ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saint Etienne / FT Saint Etienne✗
41%
2.46
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.10
–
Recent results
Saint Etienne – last 6
WWWDLW
17 Oct
@ RED Star FC 93
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Rodez
2–0
W
2 Oct
vs FC Sion
5–1
W
19 Sep
@ Metz
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Dunkerque
1–2
L
5 Sep
vs Montpellier
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nantes – last 6
LDWLWD
17 Oct
vs Dunkerque
2–3
L
10 Oct
vs Reims
0–0
D
19 Sep
@ Boulogne
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Sochaux
0–1
L
7 Sep
vs Nancy
1–0
W
29 Aug
@ Guingamp
3–3
D
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Saint Etienne and Nantes.
What is the prediction for Saint Etienne vs Nantes?
Our pick is Saint Etienne or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Saint Etienne vs Nantes?
On our numbers Saint Etienne have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Nantes 17%.
How many goals will there be in Saint Etienne vs Nantes?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Saint Etienne vs Nantes?
Our predicted score is Saint Etienne 2–1 Nantes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Saint Etienne vs Nantes?
Saint Etienne vs Nantes (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
