Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Saint Etienne to win @ 1.91 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSaint Etienne to win ✗63% · @1.91
Double chanceSaint Etienne or draw ✗86% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.11
Guingamp vs Saint Etienne: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Saint Etienne travel to face Guingamp on Saturday 31 October in the Ligue 2, with Stade de Roudourou the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Guingamp are 11th, lower half, on 14 points after 12 matches; Saint Etienne are 1st (leading the league) with 28. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Guingamp, last 5: WLLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Clermont Foot, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Saint Etienne, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Nantes, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Saint Etienne, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Guingamp.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Guingamp 0.9 xG, Saint Etienne 2.1 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 60% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Guingamp 14%, draw 23%, Saint Etienne 63%.
Lower-risk option: Saint Etienne or draw (86%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: Saint Etienne to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Saint Etienne or draw (86%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Guingamp 0–2 Saint Etienne. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Guingamp14%fair 7.02 · @3.60
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.50
Saint Etienne63%fair 1.59 · @1.91
2.95Expected goals
0.90Guingamp xG
2.05Saint Etienne xG
60%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
0–111%
1–210%
1–110%
0–38%
1–37%
From our goals model: Guingamp 0.9 – 2.1 Saint Etienne expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Saint Etienne to win✗
63%
1.59
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Saint Etienne or draw✗
86%
1.17
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.67
1.60
Draw no bet
Saint Etienne (draw no bet)✗
82%
1.23
–
Asian handicap
Saint Etienne -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.21
–
First team to score
Saint Etienne to score first✗
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Saint Etienne ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Saint Etienne / FT Saint Etienne✗
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
10%
10.11
–
Recent results
Guingamp – last 6
WLLLWD
23 Oct
@ Clermont Foot
2–0
W
16 Oct
vs PAU
1–2
L
9 Oct
@ Nancy
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs RED Star FC 93
1–3
L
12 Sep
vs Annecy
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Reims
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Saint Etienne – last 6
WWWWDL
24 Oct
vs Nantes
1–0
W
17 Oct
@ RED Star FC 93
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Rodez
2–0
W
2 Oct
vs FC Sion
5–1
W
19 Sep
@ Metz
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Dunkerque
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Guingamp and Saint Etienne.
What is the prediction for Guingamp vs Saint Etienne?
Our pick is Saint Etienne or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Guingamp vs Saint Etienne?
On our numbers Guingamp have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Saint Etienne 63%.
How many goals will there be in Guingamp vs Saint Etienne?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Guingamp vs Saint Etienne?
Our predicted score is Guingamp 0–2 Saint Etienne, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Guingamp vs Saint Etienne?
Guingamp vs Saint Etienne (Ligue 2) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade de Roudourou.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
