Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
2
Value bet: PAU to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultMetz to win ✗42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.57
Metz vs PAU: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
PAU travel to face Metz on Friday 30 October in the Ligue 2, with Stade Saint-Symphorien the venue – the ball rolls at 20:00 WAT. In the table, Metz are 7th, upper half, on 17 points after 12 matches; PAU are 5th (upper half) with 20. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Metz, last 5: DWLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Dunkerque, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
PAU, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Grenoble, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours PAU, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Metz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Metz 1.4 xG, PAU 1.3 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Metz 42%, draw 22%, PAU 35%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: PAU to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Metz 1–1 PAU. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Metz42%fair 2.37 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.30
PAU35%fair 2.82 · @3.20
2.65Expected goals
1.40Metz xG
1.25PAU xG
61%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Metz 1.4 – 1.3 PAU expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metz to win✗
42%
2.37
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.65
Draw no bet
Metz (draw no bet)✗
54%
1.84
–
Asian handicap
PAU +1 (Asian handicap)✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.98
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Metz to score first✗
49%
2.04
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metz / FT Metz✗
24%
4.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.57
–
Recent results
Metz – last 6
DWLDLW
23 Oct
@ Dunkerque
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Sochaux
3–2
W
12 Oct
@ Dijon
2–4
L
19 Sep
vs Saint Etienne
2–2
D
14 Sep
@ RED Star FC 93
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Rodez
4–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
PAU – last 6
WWWWLD
23 Oct
vs Grenoble
2–1
W
16 Oct
@ Guingamp
2–1
W
9 Oct
vs Laval
3–2
W
18 Sep
vs Dunkerque
2–0
W
11 Sep
@ Montpellier
0–1
L
4 Sep
vs Sochaux
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metz and PAU.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Metz vs PAU?
On our numbers Metz have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 22% and PAU 35%.
How many goals will there be in Metz vs PAU?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metz vs PAU?
Our predicted score is Metz 1–1 PAU, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Metz vs PAU?
Metz vs PAU (Ligue 2) kicks off on Friday 30 October 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stade Saint-Symphorien.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
