Rennes 65%Draw 18%Le Mans 17%Expected goals 2.66 – 1.34
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.70Odds
Picks by market
ResultRennes to win ✓65% · @1.40
Double chanceRennes or draw ✓83% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.70
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52
Rennes vs Le Mans: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 30 August the Ligue 1 brings Rennes against Le Mans at Roazhon Park. Kick-off: 16:15 WAT. In the table, Rennes are 8th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Le Mans are 15th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
Rennes, last 5: DLLLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Paris Saint Germain, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Le Mans, last 5: DLDWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Stade Brestois 29, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Le Mans, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.8 for Rennes.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Rennes 2.7 xG, Le Mans 1.3 xG – a total near 4.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 76% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Rennes 65%, draw 18%, Le Mans 17%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.57, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Rennes 2–1 Le Mans. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Rennes65%fair 1.54 · @1.40
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @4.60
Le Mans17%fair 5.94 · @6.50
4.00Expected goals
2.66Rennes xG
1.34Le Mans xG
64%Both score
76%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
3–18%
1–17%
2–06%
2–26%
3–06%
From our goals model: Rennes 2.7 – 1.3 Le Mans expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rennes to win✓
65%
1.54
1.40
Double chance
Rennes or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
64%
1.57
1.70 ▲
Draw no bet
Rennes (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.26
–
Asian handicap
Rennes -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
57%
1.77
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
First team to score
Rennes to score first
65%
1.53
–
Half-time result
Rennes ahead at half-time✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rennes / FT Rennes✓
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.52
–
Recent results
Rennes – last 6
DLLLDW
23 Aug
vs Paris Saint Germain
2–2
D
15 Aug
@ Sunderland
1–2
L
8 Aug
vs Brentford
2–4
L
8 Aug
vs Brentford U21
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Galatasaray
3–3
D
25 Jul
vs Club Brugge KV
2–1
W
1.8Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Le Mans – last 6
DLDWWW
22 Aug
vs Stade Brestois 29
2–2
D
15 Aug
vs Le Havre
0–1
L
8 Aug
vs UNFP
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Angers
3–2
W
25 Jul
vs Nantes
1–0
W
22 Jul
vs Versailles
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Rennes and Le Mans.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Rennes vs Le Mans?
On our numbers Rennes have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Le Mans 17%.
How many goals will there be in Rennes vs Le Mans?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 76% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Rennes vs Le Mans?
Our predicted score is Rennes 2–1 Le Mans, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Rennes vs Le Mans?
Rennes vs Le Mans (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Roazhon Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
