Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultLyon to win ✓64% · @1.50
Double chanceLyon or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Lyon vs Auxerre: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 4 September the Ligue 1 brings Lyon against Auxerre at Parc Olympique Lyonnais. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Lyon are 5th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Auxerre are 14th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Lyon, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Le Havre, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Auxerre, last 5: LLWDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Angers, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lyon 2.3 xG, Auxerre 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 59% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lyon 64%, draw 20%, Auxerre 15%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (82%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lyon 2–1 Auxerre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lyon64%fair 1.56 · @1.50
Draw20%fair 4.89 · @4.20
Auxerre15%fair 6.56 · @6.00
3.36Expected goals
2.30Lyon xG
1.06Auxerre xG
59%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–08%
3–17%
3–07%
From our goals model: Lyon 2.3 – 1.1 Auxerre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lyon to win✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Double chance
Lyon or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.73
Draw no bet
Lyon (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Lyon -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.66
1.48
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.18
First team to score
Lyon to score first
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Lyon ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lyon / FT Lyon✓
43%
2.34
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.27
–
Recent results
Lyon – last 6
DLWDWL
29 Aug
vs Le Havre
1–1
D
26 Aug
vs Fenerbahçe
1–2
L
22 Aug
@ Toulouse
2–0
W
18 Aug
@ Fenerbahçe
1–1
D
11 Aug
vs Sparta Praha
3–0
W
4 Aug
@ Sparta Praha
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Auxerre – last 6
LLWDDL
29 Aug
vs Angers
1–3
L
22 Aug
@ Lens
2–5
L
15 Aug
@ Werder Bremen
1–0
W
8 Aug
vs Estac Troyes
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Sochaux
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Orleans
1–2
L
1.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Lyon and Auxerre.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Lyon vs Auxerre?
On our numbers Lyon have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Auxerre 15%.
How many goals will there be in Lyon vs Auxerre?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lyon vs Auxerre?
Our predicted score is Lyon 2–1 Auxerre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Lyon vs Auxerre?
Lyon vs Auxerre (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 4 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Parc Olympique Lyonnais.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
