Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.73 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.73Odds
1
Value bet: Estac Troyes to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEstac Troyes to win ✗40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.29
Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Estac Troyes welcome Strasbourg for a Ligue 1 fixture on Sunday 6 September (14:00 WAT). In the table, Estac Troyes are 17th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Strasbourg are 13th (lower half) with 10. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Estac Troyes, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lorient, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Strasbourg, last 5: WLDLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lens, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Estac Troyes, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Strasbourg.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estac Troyes 1.3 xG, Strasbourg 1.2 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estac Troyes 40%, draw 23%, Strasbourg 38%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Estac Troyes to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.73 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estac Troyes 1–1 Strasbourg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estac Troyes40%fair 2.53 · @2.90
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.25
Strasbourg38%fair 2.65 · @2.30
2.50Expected goals
1.27Estac Troyes xG
1.23Strasbourg xG
59%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
0–08%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Estac Troyes 1.3 – 1.2 Strasbourg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estac Troyes to win✗
40%
2.53
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.73
Draw no bet
Estac Troyes (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Strasbourg +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Estac Troyes to score first
47%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estac Troyes / FT Estac Troyes✗
21%
4.66
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.29
–
Recent results
Estac Troyes – last 6
WDDDWW
29 Aug
@ Lorient
2–1
W
22 Aug
vs Paris FC
0–0
D
14 Aug
vs Panetolikos
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Auxerre
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Grenoble
3–0
W
18 Jul
vs RED Star FC 93
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Strasbourg – last 6
WLDLLL
29 Aug
vs Lens
2–1
W
21 Aug
@ Marseille
0–4
L
16 Aug
@ Newcastle
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ SC Freiburg
0–2
L
4 Aug
vs SV Elversberg
2–5
L
1 Aug
@ Brighton
3–4
L
1.3Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estac Troyes and Strasbourg.
What is the prediction for Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?
On our numbers Estac Troyes have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Strasbourg 38%.
How many goals will there be in Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?
Our predicted score is Estac Troyes 1–1 Strasbourg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg?
Estac Troyes vs Strasbourg (Ligue 1) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
