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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Lens v Lyon: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · France · Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens

LDWLL
2–1
FT

Lyon

WWDWD
Lens 41%Draw 21%Lyon 38% Expected goals 1.53 – 1.47
64%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultLens to win ✓41% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9% · fair 11.69

Lens vs Lyon: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Lyon travel to face Lens on Friday 9 October in the Ligue 1, with Stade Bollaert-Delelis the venue – the ball rolls at 19:45 WAT. In the table, Lens are 11th, lower half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Lyon are 5th (upper half) with 17.

Current form

Lens, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Monaco, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.

Lyon, last 5: WWDWD Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Rennes, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Lyon, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Lens.

Head to head

When they last met (17 May 2026) it ended Lyon 0–4 Lens.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Lens 1.5 xG, Lyon 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Lens 41%, draw 21%, Lyon 38%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lens 1–1 Lyon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Lens41%fair 2.46 · @2.30
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.50
Lyon38%fair 2.62 · @2.75
3.00Expected goals
1.53Lens xG
1.47Lyon xG
64%Both score
58%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–19%
1–28%
1–08%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Lens 1.5 – 1.5 Lyon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLens to win ✓41%2.462.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.561.44
Draw no betLens (draw no bet) ✓52%1.94–
Asian handicapLyon +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗61%1.64–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓58%1.73–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
First team to scoreLens to score first ✓48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗40%2.52–
Half-time / full-timeHT Lens / FT Lens ✓23%4.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓9%11.69–

Recent results

Lens – last 6

LDWLLW
18 Sep@ Monaco1–2L
13 Sep@ Le Mans2–2D
10 Sep@ Slavia Praha3–2W
5 Sepvs Lorient0–1L
29 Aug@ Strasbourg1–2L
22 Augvs Auxerre5–2W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Lyon – last 6

WWDWDL
19 Sepvs Rennes4–0W
16 Sep@ Anderlecht2–1W
12 Sep@ Paris FC0–0D
4 Sepvs Auxerre3–1W
29 Augvs Le Havre1–1D
26 Augvs Fenerbahçe1–2L
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 May 2026Lyon v Lens0–4
Lens vs Lyon head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain10721+1223
2Lille10631+721
3Paris FC10622+720
4Marseille10604+818
5Lyon10523+617
6Nice10523+317
7Monaco10442+216
8Rennes10514016
9Stade Brestois 2910433+615
10Lorient10433+115
11Lens10415+213
12Toulouse10343+113
13Strasbourg10316-410
14Auxerre10316-1110
15Le Mans10154-78
16Angers10226-108
17Estac Troyes10226-108
18Le Havre10028-132

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Lens vs Lyon?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Lens vs Lyon?

On our numbers Lens have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Lyon 38%.

How many goals will there be in Lens vs Lyon?

We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Lens vs Lyon?

Our predicted score is Lens 1–1 Lyon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.

When is Lens vs Lyon?

Lens vs Lyon (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 9 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade Bollaert-Delelis.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.