Le Mans 35%Draw 22%Toulouse 43%Expected goals 1.66 – 1.84
64%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.60 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.60Odds
Picks by market
ResultToulouse to win ✓43% · @2.25
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.60
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.78
Le Mans vs Toulouse: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:45 WAT, Friday 16 October: Le Mans v Toulouse in the Ligue 1, played at MMArena. In the table, Le Mans are 15th, lower half, on 8 points after 10 matches; Toulouse are 12th (lower half) with 13.
Current form
Le Mans, last 5: LWDDL Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Paris Saint Germain, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Toulouse, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Monaco, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Le Mans 1.7 xG, Toulouse 1.8 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 64% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Le Mans 35%, draw 22%, Toulouse 43%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.60.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (64%, odds 1.60 – longer than our fair 1.55, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Le Mans 1–1 Toulouse. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Le Mans35%fair 2.85 · @2.90
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.30
Toulouse43%fair 2.35 · @2.25
3.50Expected goals
1.66Le Mans xG
1.84Toulouse xG
64%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–35%
From our goals model: Le Mans 1.7 – 1.8 Toulouse expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toulouse to win✓
43%
2.35
2.25
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.55
1.60
Draw no bet
Toulouse (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Le Mans +1 (Asian handicap)✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
54%
1.86
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
–
First team to score
Toulouse to score first✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.77
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toulouse / FT Toulouse✗
26%
3.86
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.78
–
Recent results
Le Mans – last 6
LWDDLD
10 Oct
@ Paris Saint Germain
1–3
L
19 Sep
vs Lorient
2–1
W
13 Sep
vs Lens
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Nice
1–1
D
30 Aug
@ Rennes
2–3
L
22 Aug
vs Stade Brestois 29
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Toulouse – last 6
DWDLDL
10 Oct
@ Monaco
2–2
D
19 Sep
vs Le Havre
3–2
W
12 Sep
@ Lorient
2–2
D
3 Sep
vs Lille
0–1
L
29 Aug
@ Stade Brestois 29
2–2
D
22 Aug
vs Lyon
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Le Mans and Toulouse.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Le Mans vs Toulouse?
On our numbers Le Mans have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Toulouse 43%.
How many goals will there be in Le Mans vs Toulouse?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Le Mans vs Toulouse?
Our predicted score is Le Mans 1–1 Toulouse, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Le Mans vs Toulouse?
Le Mans vs Toulouse (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 19:45 (West Africa Time) at MMArena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
