Paris Saint Germain 65%Draw 22%Lyon 12%Expected goals 2.10 – 0.83
65%
Betarazi pick
Paris Saint Germain to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultParis Saint Germain to win ✓65% · @1.40
Double chanceParis Saint Germain or draw ✓88% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 26 October the Ligue 1 brings Paris Saint Germain against Lyon at Parc des Princes. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, Paris Saint Germain are 1st, leading the league, on 23 points after 10 matches; Lyon are 5th (upper half) with 17.
Current form
Paris Saint Germain, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Barcelona, at home. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Lyon, last 5: LWWLW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to 1899 Hoffenheim, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Paris Saint Germain, collecting 3.0 points per game to 2.0 for Lyon.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Paris Saint Germain 2.1 xG, Lyon 0.8 xG – a total near 2.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 56% and GG at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Paris Saint Germain 65%, draw 22%, Lyon 12%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.53.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Paris Saint Germain to win (65%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Paris Saint Germain 2–0 Lyon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Paris Saint Germain65%fair 1.53 · @1.40
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @4.80
Lyon12%fair 8.07 · @6.00
2.93Expected goals
2.10Paris Saint Germain xG
0.83Lyon xG
61%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Paris Saint Germain 2.1 – 0.8 Lyon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paris Saint Germain to win✓
65%
1.53
1.40
Double chance
Paris Saint Germain or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
61%
1.65
1.53
Draw no bet
Paris Saint Germain (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Paris Saint Germain -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
First team to score
Paris Saint Germain to score first✓
68%
1.48
–
Half-time result
Paris Saint Germain ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paris Saint Germain / FT Paris Saint Germain✗
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.23
–
Recent results
Paris Saint Germain – last 6
WWWWWW
20 Oct
vs Barcelona
4–2
W
17 Oct
@ Strasbourg
3–1
W
14 Oct
@ Manchester City
4–2
W
10 Oct
vs Le Mans
3–1
W
20 Sep
@ Marseille
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Stade Brestois 29
1–0
W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Lyon – last 6
LWWLWW
22 Oct
@ 1899 Hoffenheim
0–3
L
18 Oct
vs Nice
2–1
W
15 Oct
vs Crystal Palace
3–2
W
9 Oct
@ Lens
1–2
L
19 Sep
vs Rennes
4–0
W
16 Sep
@ Anderlecht
2–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Paris Saint Germain and Lyon.
What is the prediction for Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
Our pick is Paris Saint Germain to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
On our numbers Paris Saint Germain have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Lyon 12%.
How many goals will there be in Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
Our predicted score is Paris Saint Germain 2–0 Lyon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon?
Paris Saint Germain vs Lyon (Ligue 1) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Parc des Princes.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
