Wednesday 11 November 2026 14 live now 66% correct · last 30 days JackpotsNewsTelegram18+
BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Toulouse v Strasbourg: numbers & prediction

Ligue 1 · France · Stadium de Toulouse
3–1
FT
Toulouse 45%Draw 21%Strasbourg 34% Expected goals 1.72 – 1.46
80%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.22Odds

Picks by market

ResultToulouse to win ✓45% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.13

Toulouse vs Strasbourg: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

20:45 WAT, Friday 6 November: Toulouse v Strasbourg in the Ligue 1, played at Stadium de Toulouse. In the table, Toulouse are 12th, lower half, on 13 points after 10 matches; Strasbourg are 13th (lower half) with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Toulouse, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Marseille, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Strasbourg, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Auxerre, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Toulouse, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Strasbourg.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Toulouse 1.7 xG, Strasbourg 1.5 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 59% and GG at 64%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Toulouse 45%, draw 21%, Strasbourg 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (80%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toulouse 1–1 Strasbourg. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Toulouse45%fair 2.21 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @3.70
Strasbourg34%fair 2.94 · @3.00
3.18Expected goals
1.72Toulouse xG
1.46Strasbourg xG
64%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
2–06%

From our goals model: Toulouse 1.7 – 1.5 Strasbourg expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultToulouse to win ✓45%2.212.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓64%1.571.57
Draw no betToulouse (draw no bet) ✓57%1.75–
Asian handicapStrasbourg +1 (Asian handicap) ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.251.22
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.691.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗63%1.581.44
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.251.17
First team to scoreToulouse to score first ✓52%1.93–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗38%2.61–
Half-time / full-timeHT Toulouse / FT Toulouse ✓27%3.77–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.13–

Recent results

Toulouse – last 6

LDWDWD
1 Nov@ Marseille0–2L
24 Octvs Estac Troyes0–0D
16 Oct@ Le Mans3–0W
10 Oct@ Monaco2–2D
19 Sepvs Le Havre3–2W
12 Sep@ Lorient2–2D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Strasbourg – last 6

WLLLLD
1 Novvs Auxerre5–1W
25 Oct@ Rennes0–3L
17 Octvs Paris Saint Germain1–3L
11 Oct@ Nice1–2L
19 Sep@ Paris FC1–2L
12 Sepvs Monaco1–1D
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Toulouse and Strasbourg.

Toulouse vs Strasbourg head-to-head page →

Ligue 1 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paris Saint Germain10721+1223
2Lille10631+721
3Paris FC10622+720
4Marseille10604+818
5Lyon10523+617
6Nice10523+317
7Monaco10442+216
8Rennes10514016
9Stade Brestois 2910433+615
10Lorient10433+115
11Lens10415+213
12Toulouse10343+113
13Strasbourg10316-410
14Auxerre10316-1110
15Le Mans10154-78
16Angers10226-108
17Estac Troyes10226-108
18Le Havre10028-132

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Toulouse vs Strasbourg?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.

Who will win Toulouse vs Strasbourg?

On our numbers Toulouse have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Strasbourg 34%.

How many goals will there be in Toulouse vs Strasbourg?

We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Toulouse vs Strasbourg?

Our predicted score is Toulouse 1–1 Strasbourg, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.

When is Toulouse vs Strasbourg?

Toulouse vs Strasbourg (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadium de Toulouse.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.