Estac Troyes vs Le Havre: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Le Havre travel to face Estac Troyes on Friday 20 November in the Ligue 1, with Stade de l'Aube the venue – the ball rolls at 20:45 WAT. In the table, Estac Troyes are 17th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 10 matches; Le Havre are 18th (in the drop zone) with 2.
Current form
Estac Troyes, last 5: LWDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Paris Saint Germain, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Le Havre, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Lorient, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 3.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Estac Troyes, collecting 0.7 points per game to 0.0 for Le Havre.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Estac Troyes 1.5 xG, Le Havre 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Estac Troyes 45%, draw 26%, Le Havre 30%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.67.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Over 1.5 goals (75%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Estac Troyes 1–1 Le Havre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Estac Troyes45%fair 2.23 · @2.10
Draw26%fair 3.91 · @3.40
Le Havre30%fair 3.39 · @3.30
2.67Expected goals
1.51Estac Troyes xG
1.16Le Havre xG
61%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Estac Troyes 1.5 – 1.2 Le Havre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Estac Troyes
Le Havre
Attack vs Ligue 1 average
-35%
-21%
Goals conceded vs average
+3%
+35%
Our expected goals here
1.44
1.08
Our own ratings from every Ligue 1 result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Estac Troyes to win
45%
2.23
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win
74%
1.34
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
61%
1.63
1.67
Draw no bet
Estac Troyes (draw no bet)
60%
1.66
–
Asian handicap
Le Havre +1 (Asian handicap)
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
75%
1.33
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
51%
1.95
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
85%
1.18
1.14
First team to score
Estac Troyes to score first
53%
1.90
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time
42%
2.36
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Estac Troyes / FT Estac Troyes
27%
3.71
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1
9%
10.91
–
Recent results
Estac Troyes – last 6
LWDLLL
7 Nov
@ Paris Saint Germain
0–1
L
31 Oct
vs Le Mans
2–0
W
24 Oct
@ Toulouse
0–0
D
17 Oct
vs Lens
1–3
L
11 Oct
vs Marseille
0–2
L
19 Sep
@ Angers
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Le Havre – last 6
LLLLLL
8 Nov
vs Lorient
0–2
L
30 Oct
vs Paris Saint Germain
1–5
L
25 Oct
@ Marseille
3–4
L
18 Oct
vs Auxerre
1–3
L
10 Oct
@ Lille
0–1
L
19 Sep
@ Toulouse
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Estac Troyes and Le Havre.
What is the prediction for Estac Troyes vs Le Havre?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Estac Troyes vs Le Havre?
On our numbers Estac Troyes have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Le Havre 30%.
How many goals will there be in Estac Troyes vs Le Havre?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Estac Troyes vs Le Havre?
Our predicted score is Estac Troyes 1–1 Le Havre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Estac Troyes vs Le Havre?
Estac Troyes vs Le Havre (Ligue 1) kicks off on Friday 20 November 2026 at 20:45 (West Africa Time) at Stade de l'Aube.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
