Double chanceSporting Cristal or draw ✓79% · fair 1.26
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · fair 1.99
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗5% · fair 18.40
Sporting Cristal vs Union Comercio: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sporting Cristal welcome Union Comercio to Estadio Alberto Gallardo for a fixture on Saturday 27 June (21:15 WAT).
Current form
Sporting Cristal, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Estudiantil CNI, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Union Comercio, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Comerciantes, at home. Goals for and against: 1.4 scored, 0.4 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Union Comercio, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.2 for Sporting Cristal.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sporting Cristal 1.8 xG, Union Comercio 1.1 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 57%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sporting Cristal 57%, draw 23%, Union Comercio 21%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sporting Cristal 2–1 Union Comercio. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sporting Cristal57%fair 1.77 · @1.62
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.80
Union Comercio21%fair 4.84 · @4.20
2.83Expected goals
1.77Sporting Cristal xG
1.06Union Comercio xG
50%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–010%
2–110%
2–09%
0–16%
0–06%
From our goals model: Sporting Cristal 1.8 – 1.1 Union Comercio expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sporting Cristal to win✓
57%
1.77
1.62
Double chance
Sporting Cristal or draw✓
79%
1.26
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
–
Draw no bet
Sporting Cristal (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Union Comercio +1 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
–
First team to score
Sporting Cristal to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sporting Cristal / FT Sporting Cristal✗
33%
3.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
5%
18.40
–
Recent results
Sporting Cristal – last 6
WDLLWL
21 Jun
@ Estudiantil CNI
2–1
W
13 Jun
@ Comerciantes
1–1
D
31 May
@ Cienciano
2–3
L
28 May
@ Cerro Porteno
0–2
L
24 May
vs ADT
2–1
W
21 May
@ Junior
2–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Union Comercio – last 5
LWWDW
20 Jun
vs Comerciantes
0–1
L
15 Jun
@ Estudiantil CNI
3–1
W
31 May
vs Deportiva Agropecuaria
1–0
W
17 May
vs Deportivo Llacuabamba
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ San Marcos
3–0
W
1.4Scored / game
0.4Conceded / game
20%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sporting Cristal and Union Comercio.
What is the prediction for Sporting Cristal vs Union Comercio?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Sporting Cristal vs Union Comercio?
On our numbers Sporting Cristal have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Union Comercio 21%.
How many goals will there be in Sporting Cristal vs Union Comercio?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sporting Cristal vs Union Comercio?
Our predicted score is Sporting Cristal 2–1 Union Comercio, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Sporting Cristal vs Union Comercio?
Sporting Cristal vs Union Comercio () kicks off on Saturday 27 June 2026 at 21:15 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto Gallardo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Universitario1
Atletico Grau1
Comerciantes Unidos0
Juan Pablo II College0