Value bet: Alianza Lima to win @ 4.00 – our chance 33% vs 25% implied by the price (edge +30%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAlianza Atletico to win ✓45% · @1.67
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.92
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.55
Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 28 June the brings Alianza Lima against Alianza Atletico at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT.
Current form
Alianza Lima, last 5: LDDWW Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Carlos A. Mannucci, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Alianza Atletico, last 5: WWLLD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Cesar Vallejo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Feb 2026) it ended Alianza Atletico 0–0 Alianza Lima.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alianza Lima 1.3 xG, Alianza Atletico 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 48%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alianza Lima 33%, draw 23%, Alianza Atletico 45%.
Price worth noting: Alianza Lima to win @4.00 – the bookmaker implies 25%, our ratings say 33%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (52%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alianza Lima 2–1 Alianza Atletico. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alianza Lima33%fair 3.07 · @4.00
Draw23%fair 4.39 · @3.90
Alianza Atletico45%fair 2.24 · @1.67
2.56Expected goals
1.33Alianza Lima xG
1.22Alianza Atletico xG
48%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Alianza Lima 1.3 – 1.2 Alianza Atletico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 52% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
On our numbers Alianza Lima have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alianza Atletico 45%.
How many goals will there be in Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 48% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
Our predicted score is Alianza Lima 2–1 Alianza Atletico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico?
Alianza Lima vs Alianza Atletico () kicks off on Sunday 28 June 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alejandro Villanueva.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Cesar Vallejo2
Carlos A. Mannucci3