HJK Helsinki 58%Draw 21%Ilves 21%Expected goals 2.80 – 1.71
67%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultHJK Helsinki to win ✓58% · @1.57
Double chanceHJK Helsinki or draw ✓79% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓7% · fair 13.60
HJK Helsinki vs Ilves: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Ilves travel to face HJK Helsinki on Wednesday 1 July in the Suomen Cup, with Bolt Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.
Current form
HJK Helsinki, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to KuPS, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.3 a game lately.
Ilves, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with SJK, at home. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give HJK Helsinki 2.8 xG, Ilves 1.7 xG – a total near 4.5. That is an open game on paper: 83% for three or more goals, 67% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – HJK Helsinki 58%, draw 21%, Ilves 21%.
Lower-risk option: HJK Helsinki or draw (79%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: HJK Helsinki 2–1 Ilves. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
HJK Helsinki58%fair 1.72 · @1.57
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.90
Ilves21%fair 4.77 · @4.20
4.52Expected goals
2.80HJK Helsinki xG
1.71Ilves xG
67%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–17%
3–17%
2–26%
3–26%
1–15%
4–15%
From our goals model: HJK Helsinki 2.8 – 1.7 Ilves expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
HJK Helsinki to win✓
58%
1.72
1.57
Double chance
HJK Helsinki or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
67%
1.48
1.44
Draw no bet
HJK Helsinki (draw no bet)✓
73%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
HJK Helsinki -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
94%
1.06
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
53%
1.89
–
First team to score
HJK Helsinki to score first✓
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
HJK Helsinki ahead at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT HJK Helsinki / FT HJK Helsinki✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
7%
13.60
–
Recent results
HJK Helsinki – last 6
LWDWWW
27 Jun
vs KuPS
0–4
L
23 Jun
@ Mariehamn
4–0
W
17 Jun
vs Inter Turku
3–3
D
13 Jun
@ FF Jaro
5–2
W
9 Jun
@ Honka
7–1
W
30 May
vs Mariehamn
1–0
W
3.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Ilves – last 6
DLWWWL
27 Jun
vs SJK
2–2
D
23 Jun
@ KuPS
3–4
L
17 Jun
vs FF Jaro
5–0
W
13 Jun
vs Turku PS
1–0
W
10 Jun
vs Lahti
5–2
W
30 May
@ Lahti
0–5
L
2.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between HJK Helsinki and Ilves.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win HJK Helsinki vs Ilves?
On our numbers HJK Helsinki have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Ilves 21%.
How many goals will there be in HJK Helsinki vs Ilves?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for HJK Helsinki vs Ilves?
Our predicted score is HJK Helsinki 2–1 Ilves, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is HJK Helsinki vs Ilves?
HJK Helsinki vs Ilves (Suomen Cup) kicks off on Wednesday 1 July 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Bolt Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Suomen Cup · Finland · Bolt Arena
