Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pogon Szczecin welcome Legia Warszawa to Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera for a Ekstraklasa fixture on Friday 24 July (19:30 WAT). In the table, Pogon Szczecin are 4th, among the top four, on 24 points after 13 matches; Legia Warszawa are 3rd (among the top four) with 24. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pogon Szczecin, last 5: LLWLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sturm Graz, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Legia Warszawa, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Aris, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Legia Warszawa, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.2 for Pogon Szczecin.
Head to head
When they last met (6 Apr 2026) it ended Pogon Szczecin 0–2 Legia Warszawa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pogon Szczecin 1.2 xG, Legia Warszawa 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 47%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pogon Szczecin 32%, draw 26%, Legia Warszawa 42%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.75.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pogon Szczecin 1–1 Legia Warszawa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pogon Szczecin32%fair 3.14 · @2.90
Draw26%fair 3.81 · @3.30
Legia Warszawa42%fair 2.39 · @2.36
2.55Expected goals
1.18Pogon Szczecin xG
1.37Legia Warszawa xG
58%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Pogon Szczecin 1.2 – 1.4 Legia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
On our numbers Pogon Szczecin have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Legia Warszawa 42%.
How many goals will there be in Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
Our predicted score is Pogon Szczecin 1–1 Legia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa?
Pogon Szczecin vs Legia Warszawa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 24 July 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
