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Raków Częstochowa v Wisla Plock: numbers & prediction

Ekstraklasa · Poland · Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie
1–2
FT
Raków Częstochowa 58%Draw 24%Wisla Plock 18% Expected goals 1.94 – 1.13
77%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.30 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.30Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 60% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultRaków Częstochowa to win ✗58% · @1.57
Double chanceRaków Częstochowa or draw ✗82% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.13

Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Raków Częstochowa welcome Wisla Plock to Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie for a Ekstraklasa fixture on Sunday 26 July (13:45 WAT). In the table, Raków Częstochowa are 16th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 14 matches; Wisla Plock are 12th (lower half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Raków Częstochowa, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Valletta FC, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Wisla Plock, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Pelikan Łowicz, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Wisla Plock, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.2 for Raków Częstochowa.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Raków Częstochowa 1.9 xG, Wisla Plock 1.1 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 54% and GG at 60%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Raków Częstochowa 58%, draw 24%, Wisla Plock 18%.
  • GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.95.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 60%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Wisla Plock. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Raków Częstochowa58%fair 1.73 · @1.57
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.85
Wisla Plock18%fair 5.45 · @5.90
3.07Expected goals
1.94Raków Częstochowa xG
1.13Wisla Plock xG
60%Both score
54%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–110%
1–09%
2–09%
3–16%
1–26%

From our goals model: Raków Częstochowa 1.9 – 1.1 Wisla Plock expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultRaków Częstochowa to win ✗58%1.731.57
Double chanceRaków Częstochowa or draw ✗82%1.221.12
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓60%1.671.95 ▲
Draw no betRaków Częstochowa (draw no bet) ✗76%1.32–
Asian handicapWisla Plock +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.311.30
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓54%1.861.95
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓68%1.481.30
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.211.10
First team to scoreRaków Częstochowa to score first ✗60%1.66–
Half-time resultRaków Częstochowa ahead at half-time ✗42%2.39–
Half-time / full-timeHT Raków Częstochowa / FT Raków Częstochowa ✗35%2.83–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.13–

Recent results

Raków Częstochowa – last 6

WDLLLW
23 Julvs Valletta FC3–1W
16 Julvs GKS Katowice1–1D
11 Jul@ PSV Eindhoven2–3L
8 Jul@ Olympiakos Piraeus1–2L
8 Jul@ Zulte Waregem3–4L
4 Julvs Puszcza Niepołomice2–0W
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Wisla Plock – last 6

WWWDWW
22 Julvs Pelikan Łowicz3–2W
17 Julvs ŁKS Łódź3–0W
14 Julvs Bohemians 19052–0W
11 Julvs Baník Ostrava2–2D
4 Julvs Polonia Warszawa3–0W
27 Junvs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2–1W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Raków Częstochowa and Wisla Plock.

Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock head-to-head page →

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan131021+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14941+1131
3Legia Warszawa14662+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13733+524
5Wisla Krakow14734+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14653+123
7Piast Gliwice14644+422
8GKS Katowice14707+521
9Jagiellonia13706021
10Motor Lublin14545-219
11Korona Kielce14536-718
12Wisla Plock13436-715
13Widzew Łódź14284+114
14Radomiak Radom14428-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14338-712
16Raków Częstochowa144010-812
17Slask Wroclaw14248-810
18Wieczysta Kraków142210-108

More Ekstraklasa predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.

Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock?

On our numbers Raków Częstochowa have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Wisla Plock 18%.

How many goals will there be in Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock?

Our predicted score is Raków Częstochowa 1–1 Wisla Plock, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock?

Raków Częstochowa vs Wisla Plock (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 26 July 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Miejski Stadion Piłkarski Raków w Częstochowie.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.