Korona Kielce 35%Draw 23%Gornik Zabrze 43%Expected goals 1.23 – 1.41
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Gornik Zabrze to win @ 2.50 – our chance 43% vs 40% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGornik Zabrze to win ✓43% · @2.50
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.46
Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Korona Kielce welcome Gornik Zabrze to Exbud Arena for a Ekstraklasa fixture on Tuesday 15 September (19:30 WAT). In the table, Korona Kielce are 11th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Gornik Zabrze are 2nd (among the top four) with 31. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Korona Kielce, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Slask Wroclaw, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Gornik Zabrze, last 5: WWWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Lech Poznan, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Korona Kielce, collecting 2.3 points per game to 1.5 for Gornik Zabrze.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Korona Kielce 1.2 xG, Gornik Zabrze 1.4 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Korona Kielce 35%, draw 23%, Gornik Zabrze 43%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Gornik Zabrze to win @2.50 – the bookmaker implies 40%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Korona Kielce 1–1 Gornik Zabrze. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Korona Kielce35%fair 2.89 · @2.60
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.25
Gornik Zabrze43%fair 2.33 · @2.50
2.64Expected goals
1.23Korona Kielce xG
1.41Gornik Zabrze xG
62%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–09%
1–29%
2–18%
0–07%
From our goals model: Korona Kielce 1.2 – 1.4 Gornik Zabrze expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gornik Zabrze to win✓
43%
2.33
2.50 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.62
Draw no bet
Gornik Zabrze (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.81
–
Asian handicap
Korona Kielce +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Gornik Zabrze to score first✓
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.34
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gornik Zabrze / FT Gornik Zabrze✓
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.46
–
Recent results
Korona Kielce – last 6
WDWWDW
12 Sep
@ Slask Wroclaw
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Wisla Krakow
1–1
D
2 Sep
@ Widzew Łódź
1–0
W
28 Aug
@ Wisla Plock
2–0
W
22 Aug
vs Motor Lublin
1–1
D
15 Aug
@ Widzew Łódź
2–1
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gornik Zabrze – last 6
WWWLLL
12 Sep
vs Lech Poznan
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Cracovia Krakow
1–0
W
3 Sep
@ Raków Częstochowa
2–1
W
30 Aug
vs GKS Katowice
2–3
L
27 Aug
@ Monaco
1–4
L
20 Aug
vs Monaco
2–3
L
1.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Korona Kielce and Gornik Zabrze.
What is the prediction for Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze?
On our numbers Korona Kielce have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gornik Zabrze 43%.
How many goals will there be in Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze?
Our predicted score is Korona Kielce 1–1 Gornik Zabrze, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze?
Korona Kielce vs Gornik Zabrze (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Exbud Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
