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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Legia Warszawa v Zaglebie Lubin: numbers & prediction

Ekstraklasa · Poland · Stadion Wojska Polskiego w Warszawie
3–1
FT
Legia Warszawa 57%Draw 23%Zaglebie Lubin 20% Expected goals 1.44 – 0.78
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.33 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.33Odds

Picks by market

ResultLegia Warszawa to win ✓57% · @1.57
Double chanceLegia Warszawa or draw ✓80% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.40

Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Zaglebie Lubin travel to face Legia Warszawa on Sunday 2 August in the Ekstraklasa, with Stadion Wojska Polskiego w Warszawie the venue – the ball rolls at 13:45 WAT. In the table, Legia Warszawa are 3rd, among the top four, on 24 points after 14 matches; Zaglebie Lubin are 6th (upper half) with 23. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Legia Warszawa, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Pogon Szczecin, away. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 1 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Zaglebie Lubin, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Piast Gliwice, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Legia Warszawa, collecting 2.5 points per game to 2.0 for Zaglebie Lubin.

Head to head

When they last met (17 Apr 2026) it ended Legia Warszawa 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Legia Warszawa 1.4 xG, Zaglebie Lubin 0.8 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Legia Warszawa 57%, draw 23%, Zaglebie Lubin 20%.
  • Lower-risk option: Legia Warszawa or draw (80%) at 1.13.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.83.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Legia Warszawa 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Legia Warszawa57%fair 1.76 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.95
Zaglebie Lubin20%fair 5.06 · @5.60
2.22Expected goals
1.44Legia Warszawa xG
0.78Zaglebie Lubin xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–016%
1–112%
2–011%
0–011%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Legia Warszawa 1.4 – 0.8 Zaglebie Lubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLegia Warszawa to win ✓57%1.761.57
Double chanceLegia Warszawa or draw ✓80%1.251.13
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗50%1.991.83
Draw no betLegia Warszawa (draw no bet) ✓74%1.35–
Asian handicapZaglebie Lubin +1 (Asian handicap) ✗64%1.56–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓69%1.441.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗56%1.801.90 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.311.33
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.131.11
First team to scoreLegia Warszawa to score first58%1.73–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓46%2.16–
Half-time / full-timeHT Legia Warszawa / FT Legia Warszawa ✗31%3.18–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16%6.40–

Recent results

Legia Warszawa – last 6

WLWWWW
24 Jul@ Pogon Szczecin1–0W
18 Julvs Aris0–2L
18 Julvs Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki2–1W
14 Julvs Radomiak Radom3–1W
10 Julvs AS Trencin1–0W
7 Julvs Hapoel Beer Sheva3–1W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Zaglebie Lubin – last 6

WWLLWW
27 Julvs Piast Gliwice2–0W
18 Julvs Chrobry Głogów3–0W
17 Julvs Bohemians 19050–2L
8 Julvs Baník Ostrava0–2L
4 Julvs Pogon Szczecin2–0W
1 Julvs Podbrezová3–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

17 Apr 2026Legia Warszawa v Zaglebie Lubin1–0
Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin head-to-head page →

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan131021+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14941+1131
3Legia Warszawa14662+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13733+524
5Wisla Krakow14734+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14653+123
7Piast Gliwice14644+422
8GKS Katowice14707+521
9Jagiellonia13706021
10Motor Lublin14545-219
11Korona Kielce14536-718
12Wisla Plock13436-715
13Widzew Łódź14284+114
14Radomiak Radom14428-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14338-712
16Raków Częstochowa144010-812
17Slask Wroclaw14248-810
18Wieczysta Kraków142210-108

More Ekstraklasa predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.

Who will win Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin?

On our numbers Legia Warszawa have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Zaglebie Lubin 20%.

How many goals will there be in Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Our predicted score is Legia Warszawa 1–0 Zaglebie Lubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin?

Legia Warszawa vs Zaglebie Lubin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Wojska Polskiego w Warszawie.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.