Wieczysta Kraków 22%Draw 19%Lech Poznan 59%Expected goals 1.07 – 1.92
79%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Lech Poznan to win @ 1.90 – our chance 59% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLech Poznan to win ✓59% · @1.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.08
Wieczysta Kraków vs Lech Poznan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 1 August the Ekstraklasa brings Wieczysta Kraków against Lech Poznan at Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana. Kick-off: 16:30 WAT. In the table, Wieczysta Kraków are 18th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 14 matches; Lech Poznan are 1st (leading the league) with 32. There are 24 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Wieczysta Kraków, last 5: LLWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Radomiak Radom, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 3 lost from 5. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Lech Poznan, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Aarhus, at home. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Lech Poznan, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for Wieczysta Kraków.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Wieczysta Kraków 1.1 xG, Lech Poznan 1.9 xG – a total near 3.0. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 58% and GG at 59%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Wieczysta Kraków 22%, draw 19%, Lech Poznan 59%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Lech Poznan to win @1.90 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Wieczysta Kraków 1–1 Lech Poznan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Wieczysta Kraków22%fair 4.48 · @3.55
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @3.80
Lech Poznan59%fair 1.71 · @1.90
3.00Expected goals
1.07Wieczysta Kraków xG
1.92Lech Poznan xG
59%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
1–210%
0–110%
0–29%
1–36%
0–36%
From our goals model: Wieczysta Kraków 1.1 – 1.9 Lech Poznan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Lech Poznan to win✓
59%
1.71
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.70
1.57
Draw no bet
Lech Poznan (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.38
–
Asian handicap
Wieczysta Kraków +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
First team to score
Lech Poznan to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Lech Poznan ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.38
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Lech Poznan / FT Lech Poznan✓
36%
2.79
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✓
10%
10.08
–
Recent results
Wieczysta Kraków – last 6
LLWDLL
24 Jul
@ Radomiak Radom
1–2
L
18 Jul
vs Maccabi Netanya
0–1
L
10 Jul
vs Ruch Chorzów
2–0
W
5 Jul
vs Slavia Praha
2–2
D
2 Jul
vs Artis
1–2
L
28 Jun
vs Dynamo Kyiv
2–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Lech Poznan – last 6
LDWWWW
29 Jul
vs Aarhus
0–3
L
25 Jul
vs Cracovia Krakow
0–0
D
21 Jul
@ Aarhus
4–1
W
16 Jul
vs Gornik Zabrze
3–1
W
11 Jul
vs Bohemians 1905
4–0
W
4 Jul
vs Podbrezová
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Wieczysta Kraków and Lech Poznan.
What is the prediction for Wieczysta Kraków vs Lech Poznan?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Wieczysta Kraków vs Lech Poznan?
On our numbers Wieczysta Kraków have a 22% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Lech Poznan 59%.
How many goals will there be in Wieczysta Kraków vs Lech Poznan?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Wieczysta Kraków vs Lech Poznan?
Our predicted score is Wieczysta Kraków 1–1 Lech Poznan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Wieczysta Kraków vs Lech Poznan?
Wieczysta Kraków vs Lech Poznan (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
