Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Korona Kielce to win @ 3.80 – our chance 29% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultWidzew Łódź to win ✗49% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.34
Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 15 August the Ekstraklasa brings Widzew Łódź against Korona Kielce. Kick-off: 19:15 WAT. In the table, Widzew Łódź are 13th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; Korona Kielce are 11th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
Widzew Łódź, last 5: WDDWD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Jagiellonia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Korona Kielce, last 5: DLLDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Legia Warszawa, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Widzew Łódź, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Korona Kielce.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Widzew Łódź 1.2 xG, Korona Kielce 0.9 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Widzew Łódź 49%, draw 23%, Korona Kielce 29%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Korona Kielce to win @3.80 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Widzew Łódź 1–0 Korona Kielce. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Widzew Łódź49%fair 2.06 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Korona Kielce29%fair 3.49 · @3.80
2.10Expected goals
1.24Widzew Łódź xG
0.85Korona Kielce xG
52%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–113%
0–012%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Widzew Łódź 1.2 – 0.9 Korona Kielce expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Widzew Łódź to win✗
49%
2.06
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
1.93
Draw no bet
Widzew Łódź (draw no bet)✗
63%
1.59
–
Asian handicap
Korona Kielce +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.55
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.64
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.07
First team to score
Widzew Łódź to score first
52%
1.92
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Widzew Łódź / FT Widzew Łódź✗
26%
3.83
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.34
–
Recent results
Widzew Łódź – last 6
WDDWDW
9 Aug
@ Jagiellonia
2–0
W
31 Jul
@ Wisla Plock
0–0
D
26 Jul
vs Motor Lublin
2–2
D
19 Jul
vs Puszcza Niepołomice
2–0
W
4 Jul
vs Dunajska Streda
0–0
D
27 Jun
vs Stal Rzeszów
4–0
W
1.7Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Korona Kielce – last 6
DLLDDW
8 Aug
vs Legia Warszawa
1–1
D
25 Jul
@ Jagiellonia
0–1
L
17 Jul
vs Nieciecza
0–2
L
14 Jul
vs Stal Rzeszów
0–0
D
9 Jul
vs Omonia Nicosia
0–0
D
4 Jul
vs Zemplín Michalovce
4–0
W
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Widzew Łódź and Korona Kielce.
What is the prediction for Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce?
On our numbers Widzew Łódź have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Korona Kielce 29%.
How many goals will there be in Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce?
Our predicted score is Widzew Łódź 1–0 Korona Kielce, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce?
Widzew Łódź vs Korona Kielce (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
