Radomiak Radom 37%Draw 23%Zaglebie Lubin 40%Expected goals 1.74 – 1.83
62%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.67 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2
Value bet: Zaglebie Lubin to win @ 2.90 – our chance 40% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultZaglebie Lubin to win ✗40% · @2.90
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.67
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.20
Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 23 August the Ekstraklasa brings Radomiak Radom against Zaglebie Lubin at Stadion im. Braci Czachorów. Kick-off: 13:45 WAT. In the table, Radomiak Radom are 14th, lower half, on 14 points after 14 matches; Zaglebie Lubin are 6th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
Radomiak Radom, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Legia Warszawa, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.
Zaglebie Lubin, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Slask Wroclaw, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Zaglebie Lubin, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Radomiak Radom.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Radomiak Radom 1.7 xG, Zaglebie Lubin 1.8 xG – a total near 3.6. That is an open game on paper: 69% for three or more goals, 62% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Radomiak Radom 37%, draw 23%, Zaglebie Lubin 40%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.67.
Price worth noting: Zaglebie Lubin to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Radomiak Radom 1–1 Zaglebie Lubin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Radomiak Radom37%fair 2.73 · @2.38
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.10
Zaglebie Lubin40%fair 2.49 · @2.90
3.57Expected goals
1.74Radomiak Radom xG
1.83Zaglebie Lubin xG
62%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–15%
1–35%
From our goals model: Radomiak Radom 1.7 – 1.8 Zaglebie Lubin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zaglebie Lubin to win✗
40%
2.49
2.90 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.60
1.67
Draw no bet
Zaglebie Lubin (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Radomiak Radom +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
87%
1.15
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
52%
1.92
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
First team to score
Zaglebie Lubin to score first✗
50%
2.01
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
36%
2.80
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zaglebie Lubin / FT Zaglebie Lubin✗
25%
4.05
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.20
–
Recent results
Radomiak Radom – last 6
LDLLWL
14 Aug
@ Legia Warszawa
0–5
L
9 Aug
vs AEL
1–1
D
8 Aug
vs Gornik Zabrze
1–3
L
2 Aug
@ GKS Katowice
1–3
L
24 Jul
vs Wieczysta Kraków
2–1
W
18 Jul
vs Pogoń Siedlce
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Zaglebie Lubin – last 6
WLWWLL
15 Aug
vs Slask Wroclaw
2–1
W
2 Aug
@ Legia Warszawa
1–3
L
27 Jul
vs Piast Gliwice
2–0
W
18 Jul
vs Chrobry Głogów
3–0
W
17 Jul
vs Bohemians 1905
0–2
L
8 Jul
vs Baník Ostrava
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Radomiak Radom and Zaglebie Lubin.
What is the prediction for Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin?
On our numbers Radomiak Radom have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Zaglebie Lubin 40%.
How many goals will there be in Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Our predicted score is Radomiak Radom 1–1 Zaglebie Lubin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin?
Radomiak Radom vs Zaglebie Lubin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 23 August 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Stadion im. Braci Czachorów.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
