Lech Poznan 67%Draw 19%Raków Częstochowa 14%Expected goals 2.32 – 0.98
67%
Betarazi pick
Lech Poznan to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultLech Poznan to win ✓67% · @1.62
Double chanceLech Poznan or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.50
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.27
Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Raków Częstochowa travel to face Lech Poznan on Sunday 6 September in the Ekstraklasa, with Stadion Poznan the venue – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Lech Poznan are 1st, leading the league, on 32 points after 13 matches; Raków Częstochowa are 16th (in the drop zone) with 12. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Lech Poznan, last 5: WWDWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Jagiellonia, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.7 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Raków Częstochowa, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Gornik Zabrze, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Lech Poznan, collecting 2.7 points per game to 0.8 for Raków Częstochowa.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Mar 2026) it ended Lech Poznan 4–3 Raków Częstochowa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Lech Poznan 2.3 xG, Raków Częstochowa 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 64% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Lech Poznan 67%, draw 19%, Raków Częstochowa 14%.
Lower-risk option: Lech Poznan or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Lech Poznan to win (67%, odds 1.62 – longer than our fair 1.50, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Lech Poznan 2–0 Raków Częstochowa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Lech Poznan67%fair 1.50 · @1.62
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @4.00
Raków Częstochowa14%fair 7.08 · @4.50
3.30Expected goals
2.32Lech Poznan xG
0.98Raków Częstochowa xG
60%Both score
64%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–18%
3–08%
3–18%
From our goals model: Lech Poznan 2.3 – 1.0 Raków Częstochowa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our pick is Lech Poznan to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa?
On our numbers Lech Poznan have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Raków Częstochowa 14%.
How many goals will there be in Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 64% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa?
Our predicted score is Lech Poznan 2–0 Raków Częstochowa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa?
Lech Poznan vs Raków Częstochowa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Poznan.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
