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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Motor Lublin v Legia Warszawa: numbers & prediction

Ekstraklasa · Poland · Motor Lublin Arena
2–3
FT
Motor Lublin 27%Draw 22%Legia Warszawa 50% Expected goals 1.08 – 1.59
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.65 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.65Odds

Picks by market

ResultLegia Warszawa to win ✓50% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.59

Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Motor Lublin welcome Legia Warszawa to Motor Lublin Arena for a Ekstraklasa fixture on Saturday 5 September (19:15 WAT). In the table, Motor Lublin are 10th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Legia Warszawa are 3rd (among the top four) with 24.

Current form

Motor Lublin, last 5: WLDWL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Legia Warszawa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Legia Warszawa, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Motor Lublin, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (1 Sep 2026) it ended Motor Lublin 3–0 Legia Warszawa. The last 2 head-to-heads: Motor Lublin 1 win, Legia Warszawa 1, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.5 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Motor Lublin 1.1 xG, Legia Warszawa 1.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Motor Lublin 27%, draw 22%, Legia Warszawa 50%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.65.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Motor Lublin 1–1 Legia Warszawa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Motor Lublin27%fair 3.68 · @3.50
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.30
Legia Warszawa50%fair 1.99 · @2.00
2.67Expected goals
1.08Motor Lublin xG
1.59Legia Warszawa xG
59%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–111%
1–29%
0–29%
1–07%
0–07%

From our goals model: Motor Lublin 1.1 – 1.6 Legia Warszawa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLegia Warszawa to win ✓50%1.992.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.291.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.681.65
Draw no betLegia Warszawa (draw no bet) ✓65%1.54–
Asian handicapMotor Lublin +1 (Asian handicap)67%1.50–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗50%2.00–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗87%1.15–
First team to scoreLegia Warszawa to score first ✓55%1.81–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.38–
Half-time / full-timeHT Legia Warszawa / FT Legia Warszawa ✓30%3.39–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%10.59–

Recent results

Motor Lublin – last 6

WLDWLL
1 Sepvs Legia Warszawa3–0W
29 Augvs Piast Gliwice0–2L
22 Aug@ Korona Kielce1–1D
16 Augvs GKS Katowice1–0W
8 Aug@ Pogon Szczecin1–3L
31 Julvs Jagiellonia1–2L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Legia Warszawa – last 6

LDDWDW
1 Sep@ Motor Lublin0–3L
28 Augvs Slask Wroclaw1–1D
22 Aug@ Piast Gliwice1–1D
14 Augvs Radomiak Radom5–0W
8 Aug@ Korona Kielce1–1D
2 Augvs Zaglebie Lubin3–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

1 Sep 2026Motor Lublin v Legia Warszawa3–0
23 May 2026Legia Warszawa v Motor Lublin4–0
Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa head-to-head page →

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan131021+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14941+1131
3Legia Warszawa14662+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13733+524
5Wisla Krakow14734+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14653+123
7Piast Gliwice14644+422
8GKS Katowice14707+521
9Jagiellonia13706021
10Motor Lublin14545-219
11Korona Kielce14536-718
12Wisla Plock13436-715
13Widzew Łódź14284+114
14Radomiak Radom14428-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14338-712
16Raków Częstochowa144010-812
17Slask Wroclaw14248-810
18Wieczysta Kraków142210-108

More Ekstraklasa predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.

Who will win Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa?

On our numbers Motor Lublin have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Legia Warszawa 50%.

How many goals will there be in Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa?

Our predicted score is Motor Lublin 1–1 Legia Warszawa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa?

Motor Lublin vs Legia Warszawa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 5 September 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Motor Lublin Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.