Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultRaków Częstochowa to win ✓58% · @1.80
Double chanceRaków Częstochowa or draw ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.55
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.12
Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
17:00 WAT, Friday 11 September: Raków Częstochowa v Motor Lublin in the Ekstraklasa, played at Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow. In the table, Raków Częstochowa are 16th, in the drop zone, on 12 points after 14 matches; Motor Lublin are 10th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Raków Częstochowa, last 5: LLLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Lech Poznan, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Motor Lublin, last 5: LWLDW Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Legia Warszawa, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Motor Lublin, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.3 for Raków Częstochowa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Raków Częstochowa 2.0 xG, Motor Lublin 1.1 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 61% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Raków Częstochowa 58%, draw 21%, Motor Lublin 21%.
Lower-risk option: Raków Częstochowa or draw (79%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.55.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Raków Częstochowa or draw (79%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Raków Częstochowa 2–1 Motor Lublin. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Raków Częstochowa58%fair 1.72 · @1.80
Draw21%fair 4.78 · @3.75
Motor Lublin21%fair 4.78 · @3.75
3.15Expected goals
2.02Raków Częstochowa xG
1.13Motor Lublin xG
62%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–110%
2–09%
1–09%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Raków Częstochowa 2.0 – 1.1 Motor Lublin expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Raków Częstochowa to win✓
58%
1.72
1.80
Double chance
Raków Częstochowa or draw✓
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.60
1.55
Draw no bet
Raków Częstochowa (draw no bet)✓
74%
1.36
–
Asian handicap
Motor Lublin +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
First team to score
Raków Częstochowa to score first
61%
1.63
–
Half-time result
Raków Częstochowa ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Raków Częstochowa / FT Raków Częstochowa✗
37%
2.72
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.12
–
Recent results
Raków Częstochowa – last 6
LLLDDL
6 Sep
@ Lech Poznan
0–1
L
3 Sep
vs Gornik Zabrze
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Jagiellonia
2–5
L
27 Aug
vs HNK Hajduk Split
2–2
D
20 Aug
@ HNK Hajduk Split
2–2
D
16 Aug
@ Cracovia Krakow
1–2
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Motor Lublin – last 6
LWLDWL
5 Sep
vs Legia Warszawa
2–3
L
1 Sep
vs Legia Warszawa
3–0
W
29 Aug
vs Piast Gliwice
0–2
L
22 Aug
@ Korona Kielce
1–1
D
16 Aug
vs GKS Katowice
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Pogon Szczecin
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Raków Częstochowa and Motor Lublin.
What is the prediction for Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin?
Our pick is Raków Częstochowa or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin?
On our numbers Raków Częstochowa have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Motor Lublin 21%.
How many goals will there be in Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin?
Our predicted score is Raków Częstochowa 2–1 Motor Lublin, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin?
Raków Częstochowa vs Motor Lublin (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Miejski Stadion Pilkarski Rakow.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
