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Korona Kielce v Raków Częstochowa: numbers & prediction

Ekstraklasa · Poland · Suzuki Arena
Korona Kielce 43%Draw 23%Raków Częstochowa 34% Expected goals 1.51 – 1.30
59%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.67Odds
2

Value bet: Raków Częstochowa to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultKorona Kielce to win ✓43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.23

Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

13:45 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Korona Kielce v Raków Częstochowa in the Ekstraklasa, played at Suzuki Arena. In the table, Korona Kielce are 11th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Raków Częstochowa are 16th (in the drop zone) with 12.

Current form

Korona Kielce, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Gornik Zabrze, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Raków Częstochowa, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Zaglebie Lubin, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Korona Kielce, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Raków Częstochowa.

Head to head

When they last met (8 May 2026) it ended Raków Częstochowa 2–0 Korona Kielce.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Korona Kielce 1.5 xG, Raków Częstochowa 1.3 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 59%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Korona Kielce 43%, draw 23%, Raków Częstochowa 34%.
  • GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.67.
  • Price worth noting: Raków Częstochowa to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.67). Most likely score in line with that pick: Korona Kielce 1–1 Raków Częstochowa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Korona Kielce43%fair 2.31 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @3.25
Raków Częstochowa34%fair 2.93 · @3.25
2.81Expected goals
1.51Korona Kielce xG
1.30Raków Częstochowa xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–18%
1–28%
2–07%

From our goals model: Korona Kielce 1.5 – 1.3 Raków Częstochowa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultKorona Kielce to win ✓43%2.312.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.291.30
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓59%1.681.67
Draw no betKorona Kielce (draw no bet) ✓56%1.79–
Asian handicapRaków Częstochowa +1 (Asian handicap)74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.88–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗85%1.18–
First team to scoreKorona Kielce to score first ✓50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.43–
Half-time / full-timeHT Korona Kielce / FT Korona Kielce ✓25%4.02–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.23–

Recent results

Korona Kielce – last 6

LWDWWD
15 Sepvs Gornik Zabrze0–2L
12 Sep@ Slask Wroclaw2–1W
5 Sepvs Wisla Krakow1–1D
2 Sep@ Widzew Łódź1–0W
28 Aug@ Wisla Plock2–0W
22 Augvs Motor Lublin1–1D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Raków Częstochowa – last 6

LWLLLD
15 Sepvs Zaglebie Lubin2–3L
11 Sepvs Motor Lublin2–1W
6 Sep@ Lech Poznan0–1L
3 Sepvs Gornik Zabrze1–2L
30 Augvs Jagiellonia2–5L
27 Augvs HNK Hajduk Split2–2D
1.5Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 May 2026Raków Częstochowa v Korona Kielce2–0
Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa head-to-head page →

Ekstraklasa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Lech Poznan131021+2132
2Gornik Zabrze14941+1131
3Legia Warszawa14662+1024
4Pogon Szczecin13733+524
5Wisla Krakow14734+324
6Zaglebie Lubin14653+123
7Piast Gliwice14644+422
8GKS Katowice14707+521
9Jagiellonia13706021
10Motor Lublin14545-219
11Korona Kielce14536-718
12Wisla Plock13436-715
13Widzew Łódź14284+114
14Radomiak Radom14428-1214
15Cracovia Krakow14338-712
16Raków Częstochowa144010-812
17Slask Wroclaw14248-810
18Wieczysta Kraków142210-108

More Ekstraklasa predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.

Who will win Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa?

On our numbers Korona Kielce have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Raków Częstochowa 34%.

How many goals will there be in Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa?

Our predicted score is Korona Kielce 1–1 Raków Częstochowa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa?

Korona Kielce vs Raków Częstochowa (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 13:45 (West Africa Time) at Suzuki Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.