Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
2
Value bet: Gornik Zabrze to win @ 2.62 – our chance 43% vs 38% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultGornik Zabrze to win ✓43% · @2.62
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.20
Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 10 October the Ekstraklasa brings Jagiellonia against Gornik Zabrze at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku. Kick-off: 19:15 WAT. In the table, Jagiellonia are 9th, upper half, on 21 points after 13 matches; Gornik Zabrze are 2nd (among the top four) with 31.
Current form
Jagiellonia, last 5: LLLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Polonia Warszawa, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Gornik Zabrze, last 5: LDWWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Odra Opole, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Gornik Zabrze, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for Jagiellonia.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Apr 2026) it ended Jagiellonia 1–2 Gornik Zabrze.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Jagiellonia 1.3 xG, Gornik Zabrze 1.5 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Jagiellonia 34%, draw 23%, Gornik Zabrze 43%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Gornik Zabrze to win @2.62 – the bookmaker implies 38%, our ratings say 43%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Jagiellonia 1–1 Gornik Zabrze. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Jagiellonia34%fair 2.93 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.25
Gornik Zabrze43%fair 2.31 · @2.62
2.88Expected goals
1.34Jagiellonia xG
1.54Gornik Zabrze xG
62%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–29%
0–19%
2–18%
1–08%
0–27%
From our goals model: Jagiellonia 1.3 – 1.5 Gornik Zabrze expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze?
On our numbers Jagiellonia have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gornik Zabrze 43%.
How many goals will there be in Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze?
Our predicted score is Jagiellonia 1–1 Gornik Zabrze, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze?
Jagiellonia vs Gornik Zabrze (Ekstraklasa) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 19:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadion Miejski w Białymstoku.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
